L’École des cotesUCV FC v Santos
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
UCV FC (Local)
Prévision 22.33%4.48cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.501%
Kelly -0.649%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.40%22.35%22.34%24.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.134.204.3826.67%24.22%23.81%22.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Santos (Visiteur)
Prévision 49.65%2.01cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.854%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.41%49.63%49.67%50.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.861.871.9856.50%53.73%53.48%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.02%3.57cote équitable
EV -0.534%
Avantage -0.150%
Kelly -0.209%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.99%28.01%27.99%28.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.353.5532.26%29.87%29.85%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.37%EV -2.19%E -0.501%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.48%EV -1.69%E -0.854%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.15%EV -2.49%E -0.717%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-21 23:25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.03%EV -3.76%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.26%EV -5.86%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%EV -3.98%E -0.926%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.19%EV -4.17%E -2.16%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -0.534%E -0.150%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-21 23:20 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -3.98%E -0.926%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.51%EV -4.67%E -2.43%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 04:30 |
| LeoVegas | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.98%E -0.926%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -5.66%E -2.98%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 23:20 |
| SportsBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -3.98%E -0.926%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.29%EV -9.14%E -4.99%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| DraftKings | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 18:30 |
| Unibet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.15%E -3.82%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.93%E -0.553%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.15%E -3.82%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.93%E -0.553%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Casumo | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.15%E -3.82%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.93%E -0.553%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.32%EV -7.15%E -3.82%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.34%E -0.967%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-21 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -10.63%E -5.90%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| NordicBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| Bovada | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.45%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 14:42 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -8.45%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.81%EV -12.12%E -6.85%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.15%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-21 14:20 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.15%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-21 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.15%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-21 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.15%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-21 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -10.63%E -5.90%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -10.63%E -5.90%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -10.63%E -5.90%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.63%E -5.90%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -13.14%E -4.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -12.91%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -10.63%E -5.90%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-21 16:59 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -16.26%E -4.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.66%E -2.98%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-20 17:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.61% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06% | 0.4% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.41% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.41% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.44% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.11% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |