语言:简体中文
Sao Paulo v O'Higgins
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sao Paulo (主队)
预测 70.59%1.42公平赔率
EV -4.70%
优势 -3.48%
Kelly -13.43%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.35
博彩公司预测分布
69.34%70.55%70.46%72.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.311.321.3580.00%76.61%75.76%74.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
O'Higgins (客队)
预测 9.49%10.53公平赔率
EV +4.44%
优势 +0.404%
Kelly +0.444%
增长率 +0.020%
假设最高赔率为 11.00
博彩公司预测分布
8.56%9.47%9.45%10.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.5010.0810.0011.0011.76%9.92%10.00%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.91%5.02公平赔率
EV +1.55%
优势 +0.305%
Kelly +0.379%
增长率 +0.006%
假设最高赔率为 5.10
博彩公司预测分布
18.87%19.98%20.09%21.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.334.654.705.1023.09%21.49%21.28%19.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sao Paulo (主队)：70.59%；O'Higgins (客队)：9.49%；平局：19.91%。 对于“O'Higgins (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.53。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为11.00，对应+4.44%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.08%EV -4.70%E -3.48%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.85%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08%EV +1.55%E +0.305%K +0.379%G +0.006% | 2.8% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -2.43%E -0.495%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -2.43%E -0.495%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -2.43%E -0.495%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -2.43%E -0.495%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.79%EV -5.41%E -4.03%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -6.41%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -4.42%E -0.921%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.87%EV -9.64%E -7.53%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.41%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -6.41%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -6.41%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -6.41%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.90%EV -11.76%E -9.41%K -47.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.56%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -8.40%E -1.83%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-14 20:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.07%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.05%E -0.505%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.42%E -0.921%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 20:41 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.05%E -0.505%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -13.78%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.05%E -0.505%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -13.78%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.29%EV -11.76%E -9.41%K -47.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -5.05%E -0.505%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.39%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-14 19:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 9.96I 10.04%NM 9.49%EV -5.43%E -0.546%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.87%EV -0.237%E -0.047%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.07%EV -4.70%E -3.48%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 9.85I 10.15%NM 9.74%EV -6.48%E -0.658%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -0.437%E -0.087%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.87%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -6.95%E -0.710%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -11.39%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.81%EV -5.41%E -4.03%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.80%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.40%E -1.83%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 07:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -9.80%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.38%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -9.80%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.38%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -8.94%E -6.93%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -9.80%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.78%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.38%EV -8.94%E -6.93%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -14.55%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -13.78%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-14 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -19.30%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.39%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.55%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -19.30%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.14%EV -13.38%E -3.08%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-14 21:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.20% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.66% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.92% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.92% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.92% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.61% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.17% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.22% | 2.0% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |