赔率学院

Sao Paulo v O'Higgins

开赛时间: 2026-04-14 22:00 UTC

最终结果: Sao Paulo 2–0 O'Higgins

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Sao Paulo (主队)

预测 70.59%1.42公平赔率
EV -4.70%
优势 -3.48%
Kelly -13.43%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.35

博彩公司预测分布
69.34%70.55%70.46%72.08%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.251.311.321.3580.00%76.61%75.76%74.07%MIN均值中位数MAX

O'Higgins (客队)

预测 9.49%10.53公平赔率
EV +4.44%
优势 +0.404%
Kelly +0.444%
增长率 +0.020%

假设最高赔率为 11.00

博彩公司预测分布
8.56%9.47%9.45%10.61%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
8.5010.0810.0011.0011.76%9.92%10.00%9.09%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 19.91%5.02公平赔率
EV +1.55%
优势 +0.305%
Kelly +0.379%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 5.10

博彩公司预测分布
18.87%19.98%20.09%21.33%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.334.654.705.1023.09%21.49%21.28%19.61%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.08%EV -4.70%E -3.48%K -13.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.85%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08%EV +1.55%E +0.305%K +0.379%G +0.006%2.8%2026-04-14 21:30
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -2.43%E -0.495%K -0.623%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -2.43%E -0.495%K -0.623%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -2.43%E -0.495%K -0.623%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -2.43%E -0.495%K -0.623%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:30
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.79%EV -5.41%E -4.03%K -15.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -6.41%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:30
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -4.42%E -0.921%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.87%EV -9.64%E -7.53%K -34.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.41%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 21:30
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -6.41%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -6.41%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 21:30
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -6.41%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 21:30
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.90%EV -11.76%E -9.41%K -47.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.56%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -8.40%E -1.83%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-14 20:45
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.07%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.05%E -0.505%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.42%E -0.921%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 20:41
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.05%E -0.505%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -13.78%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 21:30
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.05%E -0.505%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -13.78%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.29%EV -11.76%E -9.41%K -47.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -5.05%E -0.505%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.39%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-14 19:10
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000%9.96I 10.04%NM 9.49%EV -5.43%E -0.546%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.87%EV -0.237%E -0.047%K -0.059%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 21:30
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.07%EV -4.70%E -3.48%K -13.43%G +0.000%9.85I 10.15%NM 9.74%EV -6.48%E -0.658%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -0.437%E -0.087%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 17:00
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.87%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -6.95%E -0.710%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -11.39%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.81%EV -5.41%E -4.03%K -15.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.80%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.40%E -1.83%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 07:59
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -9.80%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.38%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 21:30
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -9.80%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.38%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 21:30
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -8.94%E -6.93%K -30.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -9.80%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.78%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-14 21:30
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.38%EV -8.94%E -6.93%K -30.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -14.55%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -13.78%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-14 20:25
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -19.30%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.39%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-14 21:30
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.55%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -19.30%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.14%EV -13.38%E -3.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-14 21:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.20%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.66%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%0.5%2026-04-14 21:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.92%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%0.8%2026-04-14 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.92%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%0.8%2026-04-14 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.92%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%0.8%2026-04-14 21:30
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.61%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.17%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.22%2.0%2026-04-14 21:30