L’École des cotesFrançais
Sao Paulo v O'Higgins
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sao Paulo (Local)
Prévision 70.59%1.42cote équitable
EV -4.70%
Avantage -3.48%
Kelly -13.43%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.34%70.55%70.46%72.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.311.321.3580.00%76.61%75.76%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
O'Higgins (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.49%10.53cote équitable
EV +4.44%
Avantage +0.404%
Kelly +0.444%
Croissance +0.020%
avec la cote maximale 11.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.56%9.47%9.45%10.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.0810.0011.0011.76%9.92%10.00%9.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 19.91%5.02cote équitable
EV +1.55%
Avantage +0.305%
Kelly +0.379%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 5.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.87%19.98%20.09%21.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.654.705.1023.09%21.49%21.28%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.08%EV -4.70%E -3.48%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.85%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08%EV +1.55%E +0.305%K +0.379%G +0.006% | 2.8% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -2.43%E -0.495%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -2.43%E -0.495%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -2.43%E -0.495%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.44%E +0.404%K +0.444%G +0.020% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -2.43%E -0.495%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.79%EV -5.41%E -4.03%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -6.41%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -4.42%E -0.921%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.87%EV -9.64%E -7.53%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.41%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -6.41%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -6.41%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -6.41%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.90%EV -11.76%E -9.41%K -47.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.56%EV -0.307%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -8.40%E -1.83%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-14 20:45 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.07%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.05%E -0.505%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.42%E -0.921%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 20:41 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.05%E -0.505%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -13.78%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.05%E -0.505%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -13.78%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.29%EV -11.76%E -9.41%K -47.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -5.05%E -0.505%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.39%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-14 19:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 9.96I 10.04%NM 9.49%EV -5.43%E -0.546%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.87%EV -0.237%E -0.047%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.07%EV -4.70%E -3.48%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 9.85I 10.15%NM 9.74%EV -6.48%E -0.658%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -0.437%E -0.087%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.87%EV -6.82%E -5.16%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -6.95%E -0.710%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -11.39%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.81%EV -5.41%E -4.03%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.80%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.40%E -1.83%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 07:59 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -9.80%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.38%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -9.80%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.38%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.75%EV -8.94%E -6.93%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -9.80%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.78%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.38%EV -8.94%E -6.93%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -14.55%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -13.78%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-14 20:25 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -19.30%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.39%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.55%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -19.30%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.14%EV -13.38%E -3.08%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-14 21:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.20% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.66% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.92% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.92% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.92% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.61% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.17% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.22% | 2.0% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |