La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Sao Paulo v Millonarios
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Sao Paulo (Casa)
Previsione 56.28%1.78quota equa
EV -3.21%
Vantaggio -1.86%
Kelly -4.45%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.79%56.23%56.41%58.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.621.621.7264.10%61.57%61.73%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Millonarios (Trasferta)
Previsione 17.55%5.70quota equa
EV +7.04%
Vantaggio +1.15%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescita +0.097%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.04%17.51%17.73%18.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.455.506.1020.00%18.35%18.18%16.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.18%3.82quota equa
EV -0.531%
Vantaggio -0.140%
Kelly -0.189%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.58%26.25%25.86%26.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.543.553.8029.41%28.22%28.17%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.22%EV -5.46%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.04%EV +7.04%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.097% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74%EV -0.531%E -0.140%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +1.78%E +0.307%K +0.370%G +0.007% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +1.78%E +0.307%K +0.370%G +0.007% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +1.78%E +0.307%K +0.370%G +0.007% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +1.78%E +0.307%K +0.370%G +0.007% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.52%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.62%EV +0.199%E +0.035%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -3.93%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -1.73%E -0.309%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -1.73%E -0.309%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.21%EV -12.21%E -7.83%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -1.73%E -0.309%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.21%EV -12.21%E -7.83%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -1.73%E -0.309%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.24%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.02%EV -2.61%E -0.470%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.74%EV -3.93%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.08%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.49%E -0.634%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -3.49%E -0.634%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -3.49%E -0.634%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -3.49%E -0.634%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.38%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.04%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.24%E -0.971%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -5.24%E -0.971%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.37%EV -3.21%E -1.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.80%EV -6.12%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.67%EV -12.21%E -7.83%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.33%EV -10.51%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-19 22:58 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.26%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.26%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.26%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.26%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -12.26%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.14% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.43% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 1.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.43% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 1.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.43% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 1.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.52% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.72% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |