預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sao Paulo v Club Bolívar

開賽時間: 2026-08-19 00:30 UTC

最終賽果: Sao Paulo 3–1 Club Bolívar

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sao Paulo (主隊)

預測 66.81%1.50公平賠率
EV -3.80%
優勢 -2.64%
Kelly -8.63%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.44

博彩公司預測分布
64.57%66.58%66.82%67.07%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.341.401.401.4474.63%71.50%71.43%69.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Club Bolívar (客隊)

預測 12.34%8.11公平賠率
EV -1.32%
優勢 -0.165%
Kelly -0.188%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 8.00

博彩公司預測分布
11.82%12.32%12.33%13.91%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
6.507.327.508.0015.38%13.66%13.33%12.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 20.86%4.79公平賠率
EV -4.05%
優勢 -0.880%
Kelly -1.13%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.60

博彩公司預測分布
20.38%21.10%20.86%22.78%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.004.274.254.6025.00%23.44%23.53%21.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Sao Paulo (主隊):66.81%;Club Bolívar (客隊):12.34%;和局:20.86%。 對於「Club Bolívar (客隊)」,該估計相當於8.11的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為8.00,期望值為-1.32%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.80%E -2.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 00:25
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -4.47%E -3.12%K -10.39%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.10%EV -12.05%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 00:20
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:25
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 00:09
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.64%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.05%EV -3.17%E -0.403%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.31%EV -7.39%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 00:25
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 00:25
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 00:25
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.72%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.59%EV -9.95%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -15.52%E -3.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 00:08
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.62%EV -5.80%E -4.12%K -14.16%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -10.57%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.96%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -8.72%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 00:25
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 00:10
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.65%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 23:50
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 00:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 00:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 00:25
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -19.82%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.37%EV -7.81%E -5.66%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.82%EV -4.40%E -0.568%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-19 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.06%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.20%EV -16.74%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -14.48%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-19 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.06%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.20%EV -16.74%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -14.48%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-19 00:25
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-18 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -16.74%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -14.48%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-18 23:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -16.74%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -14.48%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-18 23:55
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -13.65%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-19 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.96%EV -10.48%E -7.82%K -30.82%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.00%EV -16.12%E -2.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-19 00:20
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.51%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.7%2026-08-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.51%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.7%2026-08-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.51%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.7%2026-08-19 00:25
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.66%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-08-19 00:25