语言:简体中文
Sao Paulo v Club Bolívar
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sao Paulo (主队)
预测 66.81%1.50公平赔率
EV -3.80%
优势 -2.64%
Kelly -8.63%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.44
博彩公司预测分布
64.57%66.58%66.82%67.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.341.401.401.4474.63%71.50%71.43%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
Club Bolívar (客队)
预测 12.34%8.11公平赔率
EV -1.32%
优势 -0.165%
Kelly -0.188%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 8.00
博彩公司预测分布
11.82%12.32%12.33%13.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.507.327.508.0015.38%13.66%13.33%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 20.86%4.79公平赔率
EV -4.05%
优势 -0.880%
Kelly -1.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.60
博彩公司预测分布
20.38%21.10%20.86%22.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.274.254.6025.00%23.44%23.53%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sao Paulo (主队)：66.81%；Club Bolívar (客队)：12.34%；平局：20.86%。 对于“Club Bolívar (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.11。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为8.00，期望值为-1.32%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.80%E -2.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -4.47%E -3.12%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.10%EV -12.05%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.64%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 12.05%EV -3.17%E -0.403%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.31%EV -7.39%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.72%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.59%EV -9.95%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -15.52%E -3.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 00:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.62%EV -5.80%E -4.12%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -10.57%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.96%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -8.72%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.65%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-18 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.47%E -4.62%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -19.82%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-19 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.37%EV -7.81%E -5.66%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.82%EV -4.40%E -0.568%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.06%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.20%EV -16.74%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -14.48%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.06%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.20%EV -16.74%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -14.48%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -7.48%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -16.74%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -14.48%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -16.74%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -14.48%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.14%E -6.72%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -13.65%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.96%EV -10.48%E -7.82%K -30.82%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.00%EV -16.12%E -2.37%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.51% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.51% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.51% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.66% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |