La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Sao Paulo v CA Boston River
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Sao Paulo (Casa)
Previsione 78.99%1.27quota equa
EV -4.43%
Vantaggio -3.66%
Kelly -21.08%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.21
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.06%78.88%79.09%81.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.131.171.171.2188.50%85.74%85.47%82.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
CA Boston River (Trasferta)
Previsione 7.44%13.44quota equa
EV +26.51%
Vantaggio +1.56%
Kelly +1.66%
Crescita +0.439%
ipotizzando la quota massima 17.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
5.74%7.43%7.32%8.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
10.0013.6113.5017.0010.00%7.35%7.41%5.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 13.57%7.37quota equa
EV +11.29%
Vantaggio +1.38%
Kelly +1.57%
Crescita +0.177%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.93%13.69%13.59%15.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.906.776.818.2016.95%14.78%14.68%12.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.26%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.74%EV +26.51%E +1.56%K +1.66%G +0.439% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.00%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.35%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV +19.07%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.242% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| Casumo | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.35%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV +19.07%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.242% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.35%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV +19.07%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.242% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.35%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV +19.07%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.242% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.47%EV -10.75%E -9.51%K -82.66%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV +11.63%E +0.775%K +0.831%G +0.097% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.47%EV -10.75%E -9.51%K -82.66%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV +11.63%E +0.775%K +0.831%G +0.097% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.47%EV -10.75%E -9.51%K -82.66%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV +11.63%E +0.775%K +0.831%G +0.097% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.47%EV -10.75%E -9.51%K -82.66%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV +11.63%E +0.775%K +0.831%G +0.097% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.47%EV -10.75%E -9.51%K -82.66%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV +11.63%E +0.775%K +0.831%G +0.097% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.90%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV +7.91%E +0.545%K +0.586%G +0.046% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -19.93%E -3.38%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV +4.19%E +0.299%K +0.322%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -11.78%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.57%EV -9.96%E -8.73%K -71.11%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.48%EV +4.19%E +0.299%K +0.322%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -11.78%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-26 21:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.83%EV -4.43%E -3.66%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.24%EV +0.465%E +0.034%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.93%EV +11.29%E +1.38%K +1.57%G +0.177% | 2.2% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -3.26%E -0.250%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -3.26%E -0.250%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -9.96%E -8.73%K -71.11%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -3.26%E -0.250%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -11.78%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-26 21:29 |
| 888sport | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.70%E -0.891%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| William Hill | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.70%E -0.891%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.70%E -0.891%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.70%E -0.891%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Bovada | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.59%E -6.48%K -44.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -10.70%E -0.891%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 21:38 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -9.96%E -8.73%K -71.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -10.70%E -0.891%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -18.57%E -3.09%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -9.96%E -8.73%K -71.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -10.70%E -0.891%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -18.57%E -3.09%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.22%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 11.47I 8.72%NM 8.11%EV -14.64%E -1.28%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.81I 14.68%NM 13.67%EV -7.58%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -18.14%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -18.57%E -3.09%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-26 21:38 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -25.58%E -2.56%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -18.57%E -3.09%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.86% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14% | 0.1% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.65% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.11% | 0.4% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.53% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.53% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.37% | 18.48I 5.41%NM 5.33% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.30% | 1.6% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |