L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Sao Paulo v CA Boston River
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sao Paulo (Local)
Prévision 78.99%1.27cote équitable
EV -4.43%
Avantage -3.66%
Kelly -21.08%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.06%78.88%79.09%81.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.171.171.2188.50%85.74%85.47%82.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
CA Boston River (Visiteur)
Prévision 7.44%13.44cote équitable
EV +26.51%
Avantage +1.56%
Kelly +1.66%
Croissance +0.439%
avec la cote maximale 17.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.74%7.43%7.32%8.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.0013.6113.5017.0010.00%7.35%7.41%5.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 13.57%7.37cote équitable
EV +11.29%
Avantage +1.38%
Kelly +1.57%
Croissance +0.177%
avec la cote maximale 8.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.93%13.69%13.59%15.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.906.776.818.2016.95%14.78%14.68%12.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.26%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.74%EV +26.51%E +1.56%K +1.66%G +0.439% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.00%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.35%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV +19.07%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.242% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| Casumo | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.35%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV +19.07%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.242% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.35%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV +19.07%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.242% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.35%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV +19.07%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.242% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.47%EV -10.75%E -9.51%K -82.66%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV +11.63%E +0.775%K +0.831%G +0.097% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.47%EV -10.75%E -9.51%K -82.66%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV +11.63%E +0.775%K +0.831%G +0.097% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.47%EV -10.75%E -9.51%K -82.66%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV +11.63%E +0.775%K +0.831%G +0.097% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.47%EV -10.75%E -9.51%K -82.66%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV +11.63%E +0.775%K +0.831%G +0.097% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.47%EV -10.75%E -9.51%K -82.66%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV +11.63%E +0.775%K +0.831%G +0.097% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.90%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV +7.91%E +0.545%K +0.586%G +0.046% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -19.93%E -3.38%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV +4.19%E +0.299%K +0.322%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -11.78%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.57%EV -9.96%E -8.73%K -71.11%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.48%EV +4.19%E +0.299%K +0.322%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -11.78%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-26 21:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.83%EV -4.43%E -3.66%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.24%EV +0.465%E +0.034%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.93%EV +11.29%E +1.38%K +1.57%G +0.177% | 2.2% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -3.26%E -0.250%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -3.26%E -0.250%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -9.96%E -8.73%K -71.11%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -3.26%E -0.250%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -11.78%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-26 21:29 |
| 888sport | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.70%E -0.891%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| William Hill | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.70%E -0.891%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.70%E -0.891%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.70%E -0.891%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Bovada | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.59%E -6.48%K -44.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -10.70%E -0.891%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 21:38 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -9.96%E -8.73%K -71.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -10.70%E -0.891%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -18.57%E -3.09%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -9.96%E -8.73%K -71.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -10.70%E -0.891%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -18.57%E -3.09%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.22%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 11.47I 8.72%NM 8.11%EV -14.64%E -1.28%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.81I 14.68%NM 13.67%EV -7.58%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -18.14%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -18.57%E -3.09%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-26 21:38 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -25.58%E -2.56%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -18.57%E -3.09%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.86% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14% | 0.1% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.65% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.11% | 0.4% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.53% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.53% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.37% | 18.48I 5.41%NM 5.33% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.30% | 1.6% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |