Language:English
Santos v C.D. Cuenca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Santos (Local)
Prediction 71.85%1.39fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -6.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.20%71.85%71.85%72.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.301.3680.00%77.36%76.92%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
C.D. Cuenca (Visit)
Prediction 9.12%10.96fair odd
EV +0.335%
Edge +0.030%
Kelly +0.034%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.43%9.12%9.23%11.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.7510.0011.0012.50%10.25%10.00%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.02%5.26fair odd
EV -0.311%
Edge -0.059%
Kelly -0.073%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.98%19.02%18.92%19.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.884.805.2421.74%20.50%20.83%19.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santos (Local): 71.85%; C.D. Cuenca (Visit): 9.12%; Draw: 19.02%. For C.D. Cuenca (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.96. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.335%.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.43%E -3.33%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +0.335%E +0.030%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.49%EV -6.78%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.85%EV -7.31%E -5.67%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +0.335%E +0.030%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -10.58%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.89%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV -4.23%E -0.402%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.08%EV -0.311%E -0.059%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.11%EV -5.87%E -4.48%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 10.24I 9.77%NM 9.22%EV -6.60%E -0.644%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.67%EV -3.74%E -0.738%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -2.28%E -1.68%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.73%EV -8.79%E -0.879%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.71%EV -1.07%E -0.206%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -5.15%E -3.90%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -8.79%E -0.879%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.88%E -0.975%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -5.15%E -3.90%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -8.79%E -0.879%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.88%E -0.975%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -5.15%E -3.90%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -8.79%E -0.879%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.88%E -0.975%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -5.15%E -3.90%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -8.79%E -0.879%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.88%E -0.975%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -5.15%E -3.90%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -8.79%E -0.879%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.88%E -0.975%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -10.18%E -8.15%K -40.73%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -8.79%E -0.879%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-27 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -10.18%E -8.15%K -40.73%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -8.79%E -0.879%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-27 00:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -13.35%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -12.49%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.52%EV -8.75%E -6.89%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -13.35%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.52%EV -8.75%E -6.89%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -13.35%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.52%EV -8.75%E -6.89%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -13.35%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.52%EV -8.75%E -6.89%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -13.35%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.52%EV -8.75%E -6.89%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -13.35%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -8.68%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -15.63%E -1.69%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -1.07%E -0.206%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 00:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.89%EV -10.18%E -8.15%K -40.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -17.91%E -1.99%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -12.49%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-26 23:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.86%EV -10.18%E -8.15%K -40.73%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.30%EV -21.56%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -10.58%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -27.03%E -3.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -12.49%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-26 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.50% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.83% | 0.2% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.64% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.64% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.17% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.94% | 1.4% | 2026-05-27 00:20 |