預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

River Plate v Independiente Santa Fe

開賽時間: 2026-08-27 00:30 UTC

最終賽果: River Plate 1–1 Independiente Santa Fe

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

27 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

River Plate (主隊)

預測 74.49%1.34公平賠率
EV -3.16%
優勢 -2.43%
Kelly -10.53%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.30

博彩公司預測分布
72.00%74.27%74.65%76.71%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.201.241.241.3083.33%80.77%80.65%76.92%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Independiente Santa Fe (客隊)

預測 7.49%13.36公平賠率
EV +12.30%
優勢 +0.820%
Kelly +0.878%
成長率 +0.108%

假設最高賠率為 15.00

博彩公司預測分布
6.49%7.59%7.49%10.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
9.0011.9212.0015.0011.11%8.39%8.33%6.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 18.02%5.55公平賠率
EV +4.52%
優勢 +0.779%
Kelly +0.942%
成長率 +0.043%

假設最高賠率為 5.80

博彩公司預測分布
16.50%18.14%17.87%20.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.705.185.205.8021.28%19.29%19.23%17.24%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:River Plate (主隊):74.49%;Independiente Santa Fe (客隊):7.49%;和局:18.02%。 對於「Independiente Santa Fe (客隊)」,該估計相當於13.36的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為15.00,對應+12.30%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (27 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.71%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.98%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +12.30%E +0.820%K +0.878%G +0.108%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.80%EV +4.52%E +0.779%K +0.942%G +0.043%2.6%2026-08-27 00:29
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.90%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.79%G +0.000%13.06I 7.66%NM 7.21%EV -2.23%E -0.170%K -0.184%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 16.90%EV +0.375%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-27 00:19
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.64%EV -3.16%E -2.43%K -10.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -2.67%E -0.206%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -15.30%E -3.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 23:34
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.47%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -2.67%E -0.206%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:29
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.47%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -2.67%E -0.206%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.47%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -2.67%E -0.206%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.47%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -2.67%E -0.206%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.25%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.41%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -2.67%E -0.206%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -5.39%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 00:29
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.82%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.41%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.26%EV -6.42%E -0.513%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -13.50%E -2.81%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-27 00:22
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -6.88%E -5.51%K -27.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -10.16%E -0.847%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV +0.916%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%6.2%2026-08-27 00:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.02%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV -10.16%E -0.847%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-27 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.88%E -5.51%K -27.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -10.16%E -0.847%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-27 00:19
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -10.16%E -0.847%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -0.886%E -0.161%K -0.197%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 00:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -6.88%E -5.51%K -27.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.16%E -0.847%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.50%E -2.81%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-27 00:29
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -6.88%E -5.51%K -27.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.16%E -0.847%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.50%E -2.81%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-27 00:29
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.56%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.97%EV -13.90%E -1.21%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -5.39%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-27 00:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.39%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -13.90%E -1.21%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-27 00:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.39%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -13.90%E -1.21%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-27 00:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.39%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -13.90%E -1.21%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-27 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.39%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -13.90%E -1.21%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-27 00:29
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.31%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.79%G +0.000%11.40I 8.77%NM 8.19%EV -14.65%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.50%EV +2.00%E +0.353%K +0.429%G +0.009%7.1%2026-08-27 00:29
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.52%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -17.65%E -1.60%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -5.39%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-27 00:29
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.55%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -17.65%E -1.60%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -6.29%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 00:29
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.51%K -27.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -17.65%E -1.60%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-27 00:29
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.12%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -17.65%E -1.60%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-27 00:29
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.33%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.29%EV -28.88%E -3.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -13.50%E -2.81%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-27 00:14
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -6.88%E -5.51%K -27.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -32.62%E -3.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-27 00:29
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 76.01%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%0.4%2026-08-27 00:29
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.59%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07%1.0%2026-08-27 00:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.12%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.82%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%1.1%2026-08-27 00:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.37%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.32%1.3%2026-08-27 00:29