语言:简体中文
River Plate v Independiente Santa Fe
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
River Plate (主队)
预测 74.49%1.34公平赔率
EV -3.16%
优势 -2.43%
Kelly -10.53%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.30
博彩公司预测分布
72.00%74.27%74.65%76.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.201.241.241.3083.33%80.77%80.65%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
Independiente Santa Fe (客队)
预测 7.49%13.36公平赔率
EV +12.30%
优势 +0.820%
Kelly +0.878%
增长率 +0.108%
假设最高赔率为 15.00
博彩公司预测分布
6.49%7.59%7.49%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0011.9212.0015.0011.11%8.39%8.33%6.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 18.02%5.55公平赔率
EV +4.52%
优势 +0.779%
Kelly +0.942%
增长率 +0.043%
假设最高赔率为 5.80
博彩公司预测分布
16.50%18.14%17.87%20.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.705.185.205.8021.28%19.29%19.23%17.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：River Plate (主队)：74.49%；Independiente Santa Fe (客队)：7.49%；平局：18.02%。 对于“Independiente Santa Fe (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为13.36。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为15.00，对应+12.30%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.71%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +12.30%E +0.820%K +0.878%G +0.108% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.80%EV +4.52%E +0.779%K +0.942%G +0.043% | 2.6% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.90%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 13.06I 7.66%NM 7.21%EV -2.23%E -0.170%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 5.57I 17.95%NM 16.90%EV +0.375%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.64%EV -3.16%E -2.43%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -2.67%E -0.206%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -15.30%E -3.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-26 23:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.47%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -2.67%E -0.206%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.47%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -2.67%E -0.206%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.47%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -2.67%E -0.206%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.47%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -2.67%E -0.206%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.25%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.41%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -2.67%E -0.206%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -5.39%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.82%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.41%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.26%EV -6.42%E -0.513%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -13.50%E -2.81%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-27 00:22 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -6.88%E -5.51%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -10.16%E -0.847%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV +0.916%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.02%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV -10.16%E -0.847%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.88%E -5.51%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -10.16%E -0.847%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.45%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -10.16%E -0.847%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -0.886%E -0.161%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -6.88%E -5.51%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.16%E -0.847%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.50%E -2.81%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -6.88%E -5.51%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.16%E -0.847%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.50%E -2.81%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.56%EV -8.37%E -6.81%K -36.41%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.97%EV -13.90%E -1.21%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -5.39%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.39%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -13.90%E -1.21%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.39%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -13.90%E -1.21%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.39%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -13.90%E -1.21%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.39%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -13.90%E -1.21%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.31%EV -7.63%E -6.15%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.19%EV -14.65%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 16.50%EV +2.00%E +0.353%K +0.429%G +0.009% | 7.1% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.52%EV -4.65%E -3.63%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -17.65%E -1.60%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -5.39%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.55%EV -5.39%E -4.25%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -17.65%E -1.60%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -6.29%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.88%E -5.51%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -17.65%E -1.60%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.12%EV -10.61%E -8.84%K -53.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -17.65%E -1.60%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.33%EV -9.12%E -7.47%K -41.45%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.29%EV -28.88%E -3.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -13.50%E -2.81%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-27 00:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -6.88%E -5.51%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -32.62%E -3.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.01% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 0.4% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.59% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07% | 1.0% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.12% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.82% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06% | 1.1% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.37% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.32% | 1.3% | 2026-08-27 00:29 |