預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Recoleta FC v Boca Juniors

開賽時間: 2026-08-18 22:00 UTC

最終賽果: Recoleta FC 0–4 Boca Juniors

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Recoleta FC (主隊)

預測 16.19%6.18公平賠率
EV +5.26%
優勢 +0.810%
Kelly +0.957%
成長率 +0.050%

假設最高賠率為 6.50

博彩公司預測分布
14.81%16.09%16.20%17.15%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.255.785.756.5019.05%17.30%17.39%15.38%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Boca Juniors (客隊)

預測 61.36%1.63公平賠率
EV -4.27%
優勢 -2.74%
Kelly -7.63%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.56

博彩公司預測分布
58.84%61.33%61.35%62.38%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.441.511.531.5669.44%66.12%65.36%64.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 22.44%4.46公平賠率
EV -2.82%
優勢 -0.651%
Kelly -0.847%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.33

博彩公司預測分布
21.91%22.58%22.45%25.43%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.603.973.904.3327.78%25.18%25.64%23.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Recoleta FC (主隊):16.19%;Boca Juniors (客隊):61.36%;和局:22.44%。 對於「Recoleta FC (主隊)」,該估計相當於6.18的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為6.50,對應+5.26%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +5.26%E +0.810%K +0.957%G +0.050%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.71%EV -4.27%E -2.74%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 21:55
Coolbet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +3.64%E +0.569%K +0.675%G +0.025%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.38%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -4.62%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -1.22%E -0.199%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-18 21:55
Casumo🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -1.22%E -0.199%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-18 21:55
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -1.22%E -0.199%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-18 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -1.22%E -0.199%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-18 21:55
LeoVegas🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.83%E -0.472%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -2.82%E -0.651%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 21:35
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.83%E -0.472%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.49%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 21:45
SportsBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.56%EV -4.45%E -0.755%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.04%EV -9.18%E -6.21%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 21:45
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.52%EV -4.45%E -0.755%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.06%EV -4.89%E -3.15%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -19.20%E -5.33%K -7.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-18 21:35
Codere (IT)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.07%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.09%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:39
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -6.88%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.49%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:40
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.88%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -6.88%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.50%EV -9.80%E -6.66%K -20.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -16.96%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-18 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -6.88%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.50%EV -9.80%E -6.66%K -20.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -16.96%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-18 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -6.88%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.50%EV -9.80%E -6.66%K -20.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -16.96%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-18 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -6.88%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.50%EV -9.80%E -6.66%K -20.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -16.96%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-18 21:55
Pinnacle🎯5.67I 17.64%NM 16.70%EV -8.18%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -4.89%E -3.15%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.22%EV -4.39%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 21:55
1xBet🎯5.61I 17.83%NM 16.65%EV -9.15%E -1.63%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.67%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.68%EV -7.53%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:55
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.93%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.96%E -5.30%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 21:55
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -10.93%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-18 21:50
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -10.93%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-18 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -10.93%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-18 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -10.93%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-18 21:50
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -10.93%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.64%E -8.08%K -26.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-18 21:15
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -10.93%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.64%E -8.08%K -26.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-18 21:15
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.44%EV -12.55%E -2.32%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.80%EV -10.41%E -7.13%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-18 21:40
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -14.98%E -2.85%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -15.84%E -4.22%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-18 21:40
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-08-18 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-08-18 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-08-18 21:55
Smarkets◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.0%2026-08-18 21:55