语言:简体中文
Recoleta FC v Boca Juniors
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Recoleta FC (主队)
预测 16.19%6.18公平赔率
EV +5.26%
优势 +0.810%
Kelly +0.957%
增长率 +0.050%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
14.81%16.09%16.20%17.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.255.785.756.5019.05%17.30%17.39%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
Boca Juniors (客队)
预测 61.36%1.63公平赔率
EV -4.27%
优势 -2.74%
Kelly -7.63%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.56
博彩公司预测分布
58.84%61.33%61.35%62.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.511.531.5669.44%66.12%65.36%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.44%4.46公平赔率
EV -2.82%
优势 -0.651%
Kelly -0.847%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.33
博彩公司预测分布
21.91%22.58%22.45%25.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.973.904.3327.78%25.18%25.64%23.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Recoleta FC (主队)：16.19%；Boca Juniors (客队)：61.36%；平局：22.44%。 对于“Recoleta FC (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.18。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+5.26%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +5.26%E +0.810%K +0.957%G +0.050% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.71%EV -4.27%E -2.74%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +3.64%E +0.569%K +0.675%G +0.025% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.38%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -4.62%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -1.22%E -0.199%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -1.22%E -0.199%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -1.22%E -0.199%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -1.22%E -0.199%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.83%E -0.472%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -2.82%E -0.651%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.83%E -0.472%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.49%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.56%EV -4.45%E -0.755%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.04%EV -9.18%E -6.21%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.52%EV -4.45%E -0.755%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.06%EV -4.89%E -3.15%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -19.20%E -5.33%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.07%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.09%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -6.88%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.49%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.88%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -6.88%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.50%EV -9.80%E -6.66%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -16.96%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -6.88%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.50%EV -9.80%E -6.66%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -16.96%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -6.88%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.50%EV -9.80%E -6.66%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -16.96%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -6.88%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.50%EV -9.80%E -6.66%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -16.96%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.67I 17.64%NM 16.70%EV -8.18%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -4.89%E -3.15%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.22%EV -4.39%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.65%EV -9.15%E -1.63%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.67%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.68%EV -7.53%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.93%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.96%E -5.30%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -10.93%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -10.93%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -10.93%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -10.93%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -10.93%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.64%E -8.08%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-18 21:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -10.93%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.64%E -8.08%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-18 21:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.44%EV -12.55%E -2.32%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.80%EV -10.41%E -7.13%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -14.98%E -2.85%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -15.84%E -4.22%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.0% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |