語言:繁體中文
Puerto Cabello v Club Cienciano
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Puerto Cabello (主隊)
預測 46.48%2.15公平賠率
EV -2.39%
優勢 -1.14%
Kelly -2.17%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 2.10
博彩公司預測分布
45.20%46.57%46.41%48.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.851.961.952.1054.05%51.05%51.28%47.62%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Club Cienciano (客隊)
預測 24.63%4.06公平賠率
EV -1.49%
優勢 -0.371%
Kelly -0.495%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 4.00
博彩公司預測分布
23.52%24.49%24.69%25.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.603.793.804.0027.78%26.38%26.32%25.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值
和局
預測 28.89%3.46公平賠率
EV +1.12%
優勢 +0.319%
Kelly +0.447%
成長率 +0.005%
假設最高賠率為 3.50
博彩公司預測分布
27.59%28.94%28.90%29.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.053.243.253.5032.79%30.88%30.77%28.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Puerto Cabello (主隊)：46.48%；Club Cienciano (客隊)：24.63%；和局：28.89%。 對於「和局」，該估計相當於3.46的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為3.50，對應+1.12%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (26 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -1.49%E -0.371%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV +1.12%E +0.319%K +0.447%G +0.005% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -9.36%E -4.80%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -2.72%E -0.688%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -1.77%E -0.521%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.50%EV -9.83%E -5.07%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.72%E -0.688%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -1.77%E -0.521%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.50%EV -9.83%E -5.07%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.72%E -0.688%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -1.77%E -0.521%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.50%EV -9.83%E -5.07%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.72%E -0.688%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -1.77%E -0.521%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.81%EV -6.57%E -3.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.43%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.59%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -7.97%E -4.02%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.49%E -0.371%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 00:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 00:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.97%E -4.02%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.87%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 00:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -9.36%E -4.80%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.64%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -12.62%E -6.71%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-06 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -12.62%E -6.71%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-06 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -12.62%E -6.71%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -12.62%E -6.71%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-06 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.36%E -4.80%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -11.22%E -5.88%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -7.64%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.87%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.87%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.87%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.87%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.36%E -4.80%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.22%E -5.88%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -14.01%E -7.57%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.70%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |