La scuola delle quote

Puerto Cabello v Club Cienciano

Inizio: 2026-05-06 00:30 UTC

Finale: Puerto Cabello 3–0 Club Cienciano

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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26 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Puerto Cabello (Casa)

Previsione 46.48%2.15quota equa
EV -2.39%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.20%46.57%46.41%48.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.961.952.1054.05%51.05%51.28%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Club Cienciano (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.63%4.06quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -0.371%
Kelly -0.495%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.52%24.49%24.69%25.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.793.804.0027.78%26.38%26.32%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.89%3.46quota equa
EV +1.12%
Vantaggio +0.319%
Kelly +0.447%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.59%28.94%28.90%29.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.243.253.5032.79%30.88%30.77%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -1.49%E -0.371%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV +1.12%E +0.319%K +0.447%G +0.005%3.6%2026-05-06 00:05
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -9.36%E -4.80%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -2.72%E -0.688%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -1.77%E -0.521%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 00:05
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.50%EV -9.83%E -5.07%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.72%E -0.688%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -1.77%E -0.521%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.50%EV -9.83%E -5.07%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.72%E -0.688%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -1.77%E -0.521%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 00:04
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 48.50%EV -9.83%E -5.07%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.72%E -0.688%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -1.77%E -0.521%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 00:04
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 46.81%EV -6.57%E -3.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.43%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 00:04
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 00:10
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.59%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 00:24
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -7.97%E -4.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.49%E -0.371%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 00:14
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 00:18
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.97%E -4.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.87%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 00:09
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -9.36%E -4.80%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.64%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 00:04
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -12.62%E -6.71%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-06 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -12.62%E -6.71%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-06 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -12.62%E -6.71%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-06 00:04
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -12.62%E -6.71%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-06 00:05
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 00:15
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.36%E -4.80%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.41%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 00:24
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -11.22%E -5.88%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -7.64%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-06 00:20
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.87%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 00:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.87%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 00:19
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.87%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 00:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.04%E -3.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.87%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 00:20
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.36%E -4.80%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-06 00:04
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.22%E -5.88%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-06 00:20
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -14.01%E -7.57%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.70%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-06 00:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-06 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-06 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-06 00:25
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-05-06 00:20
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-05-06 00:15