语言:简体中文
Palestino v Montevideo City Torque
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Palestino (主队)
预测 36.61%2.73公平赔率
EV -4.08%
优势 -1.56%
Kelly -2.52%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.62
博彩公司预测分布
35.98%37.08%36.61%39.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.462.452.6244.44%40.68%40.82%38.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
Montevideo City Torque (客队)
预测 32.09%3.12公平赔率
EV +2.69%
优势 +0.841%
Kelly +1.22%
增长率 +0.033%
假设最高赔率为 3.20
博彩公司预测分布
30.13%31.76%32.09%32.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.932.953.2037.04%34.09%33.90%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.30%3.20公平赔率
EV +1.72%
优势 +0.529%
Kelly +0.764%
增长率 +0.013%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
29.91%31.17%31.30%32.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.013.003.2534.72%33.17%33.33%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Palestino (主队)：36.61%；Montevideo City Torque (客队)：32.09%；平局：31.30%。 对于“Montevideo City Torque (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.12。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.20，对应+2.69%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%EV +2.69%E +0.841%K +1.22%G +0.033% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%EV +1.72%E +0.529%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV +1.09%E +0.345%K +0.506%G +0.006% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.54%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -0.517%E -0.167%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -0.517%E -0.167%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -0.517%E -0.167%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -0.517%E -0.167%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -13.97%E -5.94%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -2.12%E -0.695%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.54%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -14.70%E -6.31%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -3.73%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 00:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -14.70%E -6.31%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -3.73%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -14.70%E -6.31%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -3.73%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.99%EV -4.08%E -1.56%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.53%EV -4.37%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.48%EV -0.472%E -0.148%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-15 00:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.49%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -4.69%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.44%EV -5.17%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -4.81%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.33%E -1.81%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -5.55%E -2.15%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -6.29%E -2.16%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.59%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.87%EV -7.90%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -9.24%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-15 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.64%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -8.54%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.54%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 00:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 00:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.24%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-15 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -12.87%E -5.41%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-15 00:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -11.75%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-15 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.55%EV -17.63%E -7.83%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -11.75%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.91%EV -9.24%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-15 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.35%E -4.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.24%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-15 00:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66% | 0.3% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-04-15 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-04-15 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |