La scuola delle quote

Palestino v Montevideo City Torque

Inizio: 2026-04-15 00:30 UTC

Finale: Palestino 0–2 Montevideo City Torque

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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25 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Palestino (Casa)

Previsione 36.61%2.73quota equa
EV -4.08%
Vantaggio -1.56%
Kelly -2.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.98%37.08%36.61%39.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.462.452.6244.44%40.68%40.82%38.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Montevideo City Torque (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.09%3.12quota equa
EV +2.69%
Vantaggio +0.841%
Kelly +1.22%
Crescita +0.033%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.13%31.76%32.09%32.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.932.953.2037.04%34.09%33.90%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.30%3.20quota equa
EV +1.72%
Vantaggio +0.529%
Kelly +0.764%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.91%31.17%31.30%32.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.013.003.2534.72%33.17%33.33%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%EV +2.69%E +0.841%K +1.22%G +0.033%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%EV +1.72%E +0.529%K +0.764%G +0.013%2.0%2026-04-15 00:15
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV +1.09%E +0.345%K +0.506%G +0.006%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.54%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 00:05
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -0.517%E -0.167%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 00:15
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -0.517%E -0.167%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 00:20
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -0.517%E -0.167%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 00:20
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -0.517%E -0.167%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 00:15
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -13.97%E -5.94%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -2.12%E -0.695%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.54%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-15 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -14.70%E -6.31%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -3.73%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 00:15
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -14.70%E -6.31%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -3.73%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 00:20
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -14.70%E -6.31%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -3.73%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 00:15
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.99%EV -4.08%E -1.56%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.53%EV -4.37%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.48%EV -0.472%E -0.148%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-15 00:19
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 36.49%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -4.69%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.44%EV -5.17%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 00:15
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -4.81%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.33%E -1.81%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 00:20
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -5.55%E -2.15%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -6.29%E -2.16%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 00:20
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.59%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.87%EV -7.90%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -9.24%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-15 00:05
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.64%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -8.54%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.54%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 00:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 00:15
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 00:10
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 00:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 00:15
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.24%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-15 00:05
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -12.87%E -5.41%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-15 00:05
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -11.75%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-15 00:05
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.55%EV -17.63%E -7.83%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -11.75%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.91%EV -9.24%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-15 00:15
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.35%E -4.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.24%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-15 00:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66%0.3%2026-04-15 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-04-15 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-04-15 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-04-15 00:20
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00%2.4%2026-04-15 00:20