赔率学院

Orense SC v Macará

开赛时间： 2026-03-06 02:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Orense SC (主队)

预测 48.51%2.06公平赔率
EV -3.94%
优势 -1.99%
Kelly -4.02%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.98

博彩公司预测分布
46.70%48.36%48.21%49.13%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.851.921.931.9854.05%52.15%51.81%50.51%MIN均值中位数MAX

Macará (客队)

预测 21.24%4.71公平赔率
EV +1.10%
优势 +0.230%
Kelly +0.291%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 4.76

博彩公司预测分布
19.94%21.32%21.57%23.37%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.804.244.254.7626.32%23.58%23.53%21.01%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 30.25%3.31公平赔率
EV -3.21%
优势 -1.00%
Kelly -1.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
28.64%30.32%30.22%31.48%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.983.083.103.2033.56%32.42%32.26%31.25%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 48.93%EV -5.88%E -3.03%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.94%EV +1.10%E +0.230%K +0.291%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:40
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.43%EV -5.40%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -0.179%E -0.038%K -0.048%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 17:49
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.27%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.89%EV -5.28%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.85%EV -8.65%E -2.87%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 00:00
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.75%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.75%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 09:10
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.75%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 09:10
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.75%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 09:10
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.75%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 09:10
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -7.82%E -4.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 04:50
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93%EV -8.79%E -4.68%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 20:30
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -9.76%E -5.25%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -9.74%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 20:30
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.98%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -9.74%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-05 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.98%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -9.74%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-05 20:29
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.34%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.80%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 09:30
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.70%EV -3.94%E -1.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -11.86%E -2.86%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.03%EV -9.86%E -3.31%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 17:44
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -5.40%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -12.92%E -3.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 00:00
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -7.82%E -4.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 00:00
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.40%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 00:00
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.40%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 00:01
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.40%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 00:00
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.40%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 00:01
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -7.82%E -4.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 00:00
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.29%E -5.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-06 00:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61%2.1%2026-03-06 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.95%2.6%2026-03-06 00:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.95%2.6%2026-03-06 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.95%2.6%2026-03-06 00:00
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 48.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%2.8%2026-03-06 00:00