L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Orense SC v Macará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Orense SC (Local)
Prévision 48.51%2.06cote équitable
EV -3.94%
Avantage -1.99%
Kelly -4.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.70%48.36%48.21%49.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.921.931.9854.05%52.15%51.81%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Macará (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.24%4.71cote équitable
EV +1.10%
Avantage +0.230%
Kelly +0.291%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 4.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.94%21.32%21.57%23.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.244.254.7626.32%23.58%23.53%21.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.25%3.31cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.64%30.32%30.22%31.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.983.083.103.2033.56%32.42%32.26%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.93%EV -5.88%E -3.03%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.94%EV +1.10%E +0.230%K +0.291%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.43%EV -5.40%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -0.179%E -0.038%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 17:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.27%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.89%EV -5.28%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.85%EV -8.65%E -2.87%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.75%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.75%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 09:10 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.75%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 09:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.75%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.75%EV -6.37%E -3.30%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 09:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -7.82%E -4.12%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 04:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93%EV -8.79%E -4.68%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 20:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -9.76%E -5.25%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -9.74%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 20:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.98%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -9.74%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-05 20:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.98%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -9.74%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-05 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.34%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.80%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 09:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.70%EV -3.94%E -1.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -11.86%E -2.86%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.03%EV -9.86%E -3.31%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 17:44 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -5.40%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -12.92%E -3.15%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -7.82%E -4.12%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.40%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.40%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.40%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.40%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -7.82%E -4.12%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.25%E -5.54%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.29%E -5.08%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.95% | 2.6% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.95% | 2.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.95% | 2.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.89% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41% | 2.8% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |