La scuola delle quote

Olimpia Asunción v Barracas Central

Inizio: 2026-04-16 00:00 UTC

Finale: Olimpia Asunción 0–0 Barracas Central

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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25 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Olimpia Asunción (Casa)

Previsione 57.48%1.74quota equa
EV -1.70%
Vantaggio -0.996%
Kelly -2.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.25%57.56%57.48%59.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.621.611.7165.36%61.68%62.11%58.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Barracas Central (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.80%6.33quota equa
EV +3.36%
Vantaggio +0.514%
Kelly +0.607%
Crescita +0.020%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.48%15.66%15.80%17.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.815.756.5420.00%17.20%17.39%15.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.71%3.74quota equa
EV -3.57%
Vantaggio -0.989%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.31%26.78%26.71%27.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.413.403.6130.77%29.36%29.41%27.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.20%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.48%EV +3.36%E +0.514%K +0.607%G +0.020%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 23:55
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.10%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 15.02%EV +2.10%E +0.325%K +0.384%G +0.008%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -3.57%E -0.989%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-15 23:54
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.97%EV -1.70%E -0.996%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV -3.59%E -0.589%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-15 23:39
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.89%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 23:39
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.89%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.89%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 23:39
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.89%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 23:39
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -6.88%E -4.24%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-15 23:54
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 23:54
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 23:54
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.88%E -4.24%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -8.33%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 23:40
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -6.88%E -4.24%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -8.33%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-15 23:54
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.23%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 23:53
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.95%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-15 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.95%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-15 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.95%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-15 23:39
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 23:54
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 23:54
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -9.91%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 18:55
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -6.88%E -4.24%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-15 23:49
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-15 23:54
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.54%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-15 23:54
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.84%EV -12.05%E -7.88%K -22.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.41%EV -16.24%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-15 23:44
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.98%E -4.20%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-15 23:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.85%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.5%2026-04-15 23:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-04-15 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.64%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-04-15 23:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.64%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-04-15 23:45
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.4%2026-04-15 23:54