L’École des cotesFrançais
Olimpia Asunción v Barracas Central
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Olimpia Asunción (Local)
Prévision 57.48%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.996%
Kelly -2.40%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.25%57.56%57.48%59.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.621.611.7165.36%61.68%62.11%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Barracas Central (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.80%6.33cote équitable
EV +3.36%
Avantage +0.514%
Kelly +0.607%
Croissance +0.020%
avec la cote maximale 6.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.48%15.66%15.80%17.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.815.756.5420.00%17.20%17.39%15.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.71%3.74cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -0.989%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.31%26.78%26.71%27.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.413.403.6130.77%29.36%29.41%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.20%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.48%EV +3.36%E +0.514%K +0.607%G +0.020% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 23:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.10%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 15.02%EV +2.10%E +0.325%K +0.384%G +0.008% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -3.57%E -0.989%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.97%EV -1.70%E -0.996%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV -3.59%E -0.589%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.89%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.89%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.89%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.89%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -6.88%E -4.24%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.88%E -4.24%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -8.33%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 23:40 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -6.88%E -4.24%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -8.33%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.23%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 23:53 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.95%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.95%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.95%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -9.91%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -6.88%E -4.24%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-15 23:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.54%EV -9.75%E -6.21%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.84%EV -12.05%E -7.88%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.41%EV -16.24%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-15 23:44 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -7.45%E -4.63%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.98%E -4.20%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.64% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.64% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-04-15 23:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.79% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |