La scuola delle quote

Montevideo City Torque v Palestino

Inizio: 2026-05-06 22:00 UTC

Finale: Montevideo City Torque 1–0 Palestino

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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26 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Montevideo City Torque (Casa)

Previsione 51.05%1.96quota equa
EV -1.99%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.69%51.05%50.94%52.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.821.831.9257.14%54.95%54.64%52.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palestino (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.51%4.88quota equa
EV -1.13%
Vantaggio -0.235%
Kelly -0.296%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.67%20.46%20.60%22.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.444.504.8225.00%22.52%22.22%20.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.44%3.52quota equa
EV -1.88%
Vantaggio -0.546%
Kelly -0.769%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.50%28.50%28.46%29.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.273.263.4532.26%30.62%30.67%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.66%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -1.88%E -0.546%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 21:45
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.48%EV -4.62%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 21:35
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.07%EV -5.05%E -2.72%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.87%EV -1.95%E -0.408%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.05%EV -7.00%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 21:55
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.80%EV -5.05%E -2.72%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 21:45
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 21:45
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 21:45
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 21:45
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 21:50
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.31%E -0.972%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 21:45
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 21:44
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 21:45
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 21:45
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 21:45
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 21:45
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.85%E -3.30%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 21:40
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.79%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -8.72%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 21:50
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -7.60%E -4.20%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.67%EV -1.13%E -0.235%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.96%EV -3.59%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 21:45
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -17.95%E -4.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-06 21:45
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -8.62%E -4.82%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -8.62%E -4.82%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 21:45
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -8.62%E -4.82%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 21:45
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -8.62%E -4.82%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 21:45
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.67%E -6.09%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-06 21:45
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.67%E -6.09%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-06 21:45
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.67%E -6.09%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.85%E -3.30%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-06 21:45
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.83%EV -10.67%E -6.09%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -12.82%E -3.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-06 21:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-05-06 21:55
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-05-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-05-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.35%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-06 21:55
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00%2.0%2026-05-06 21:55