L’École des cotesFrançais
Montevideo City Torque v Palestino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Montevideo City Torque (Local)
Prévision 51.05%1.96cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.69%51.05%50.94%52.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.821.831.9257.14%54.95%54.64%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Palestino (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.51%4.88cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.235%
Kelly -0.296%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.67%20.46%20.60%22.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.444.504.8225.00%22.52%22.22%20.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.44%3.52cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.546%
Kelly -0.769%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.50%28.50%28.46%29.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.273.263.4532.26%30.62%30.67%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.66%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -1.88%E -0.546%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.48%EV -4.62%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.07%EV -5.05%E -2.72%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.87%EV -1.95%E -0.408%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.05%EV -7.00%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.80%EV -5.05%E -2.72%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.31%E -0.972%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 21:44 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.58%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.85%E -3.30%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.79%EV -7.09%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -8.72%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -7.60%E -4.20%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.67%EV -1.13%E -0.235%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.96%EV -3.59%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.11%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -17.95%E -4.49%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -8.62%E -4.82%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -8.62%E -4.82%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -8.62%E -4.82%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -8.62%E -4.82%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.67%E -6.09%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.67%E -6.09%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.67%E -6.09%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.85%E -3.30%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.83%EV -10.67%E -6.09%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -12.82%E -3.02%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-06 21:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.35% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00% | 2.0% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |