La scuola delle quote

Montevideo City Torque v Grêmio

Inizio: 2026-04-09 00:32 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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24 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Montevideo City Torque (Casa)

Previsione 29.58%3.38quota equa
EV +6.49%
Vantaggio +1.80%
Kelly +2.50%
Crescita +0.162%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.78%29.64%29.65%30.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.273.233.6033.90%30.56%31.01%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Grêmio (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.49%2.53quota equa
EV -4.82%
Vantaggio -2.00%
Kelly -3.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.26%39.37%39.46%42.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.282.302.4146.51%43.85%43.48%41.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.93%3.23quota equa
EV -2.58%
Vantaggio -0.820%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.01%30.99%30.89%32.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.972.963.1536.36%33.64%33.73%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV +6.49%E +1.80%K +2.50%G +0.162%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -9.17%E -3.99%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%EV -2.58%E -0.820%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 00:29
1xBet3.58I 27.93%NM 27.11%EV +5.90%E +1.65%K +2.29%G +0.135%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.48%EV -7.59%E -3.24%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.41%EV -4.44%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 00:29
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.93%E -5.35%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 00:30
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.93%E -5.35%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 00:29
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.93%E -5.35%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 00:29
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.93%E -5.35%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 00:29
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV +0.577%E +0.170%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -13.91%E -6.38%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV +0.577%E +0.170%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -15.09%E -7.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 00:30
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV +0.577%E +0.170%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -15.09%E -7.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 00:30
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV +0.577%E +0.170%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -15.09%E -7.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 00:29
Pinnacle3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.54%EV -4.82%E -2.00%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.14%EV -5.37%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 00:29
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -6.80%E -2.88%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 00:29
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.22%E -2.17%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 00:29
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.17%E -3.99%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 00:29
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.17%E -3.99%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 00:29
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.68%EV -9.17%E -3.99%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.80%EV -11.24%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 00:29
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.17%E -3.99%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 00:30
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.01%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 00:30
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.14%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-09 00:29
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -6.01%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -7.84%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-09 00:29
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.01%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 00:29
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.01%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 00:29
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.14%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-09 00:30
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -15.09%E -7.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-09 00:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%0.7%2026-04-09 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%1.2%2026-04-09 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-04-09 00:30
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-04-09 00:30
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.92%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%2.3%2026-04-09 00:30