La scuola delle quote

Millonarios v O'Higgins

Inizio: 2026-05-26 22:00 UTC

Finale: Millonarios 1–2 O'Higgins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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27 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Millonarios (Casa)

Previsione 61.82%1.62quota equa
EV -0.467%
Vantaggio -0.290%
Kelly -0.765%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.54%61.64%61.77%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.521.531.6169.44%65.95%65.36%62.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

O'Higgins (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.57%6.42quota equa
EV -0.368%
Vantaggio -0.058%
Kelly -0.068%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.00%15.56%15.48%17.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.255.825.756.4019.05%17.18%17.39%15.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.61%4.42quota equa
EV -2.77%
Vantaggio -0.645%
Kelly -0.841%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.91%22.80%22.75%24.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.803.984.004.3026.32%25.11%25.00%23.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.71%EV -0.467%E -0.290%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.02%EV -5.04%E -0.826%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-26 21:40
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.06%EV -4.18%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.03%EV -0.368%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 21:19
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.18%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -9.71%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 21:39
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.18%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -9.71%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 21:40
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.18%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -9.71%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 21:39
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.18%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -9.71%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 21:39
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -4.18%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -15.94%E -2.95%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 21:30
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.72%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.16%EV -2.39%E -0.381%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.12%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 21:49
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 61.59%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.55%EV -5.04%E -0.826%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -6.17%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 21:40
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 21:50
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -14.38%E -2.61%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 21:20
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.01%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.71%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -14.08%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-26 21:49
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -14.08%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-26 21:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -14.08%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-26 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -14.08%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-26 21:50
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.60%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.77%E -0.645%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.60%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 21:40
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 21:40
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 21:39
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 21:40
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.27%E -3.48%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-26 21:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.98%E -7.62%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.60%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-26 21:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.98%E -7.62%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.60%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-26 21:10
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -10.98%E -7.62%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.81%EV -12.82%E -2.29%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-26 21:39
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -10.98%E -7.62%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.08%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-26 21:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-26 21:50
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-26 21:50
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-05-26 21:40