La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Millonarios v O'Higgins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Millonarios (Local)
Predicción 61.82%1.62momio equitativo
EV -0.467%
Ventaja -0.290%
Kelly -0.765%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.54%61.64%61.77%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.521.531.6169.44%65.95%65.36%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
O'Higgins (Visitante)
Predicción 15.57%6.42momio equitativo
EV -0.368%
Ventaja -0.058%
Kelly -0.068%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.00%15.56%15.48%17.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.255.825.756.4019.05%17.18%17.39%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.61%4.42momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -0.841%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.91%22.80%22.75%24.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.803.984.004.3026.32%25.11%25.00%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (27 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.71%EV -0.467%E -0.290%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.02%EV -5.04%E -0.826%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.06%EV -4.18%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.03%EV -0.368%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.18%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -9.71%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.18%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -9.71%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.18%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -9.71%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.18%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -9.71%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -4.18%E -2.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -15.94%E -2.95%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-26 21:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.72%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 15.16%EV -2.39%E -0.381%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.12%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.59%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.55%EV -5.04%E -0.826%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -6.17%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -14.38%E -2.61%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-26 21:20 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.01%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.71%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -14.08%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -14.08%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -14.08%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -5.41%E -3.54%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -14.08%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.65%E -4.40%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.60%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.77%E -0.645%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.60%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.27%E -4.84%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.27%E -3.48%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-26 21:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.98%E -7.62%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.60%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-26 21:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.98%E -7.62%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.60%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-26 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -10.98%E -7.62%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.81%EV -12.82%E -2.29%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -10.98%E -7.62%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -10.49%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.08%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-26 21:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |