預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Independiente Santa Fe v River Plate

開賽時間: 2026-08-13 00:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

27 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Independiente Santa Fe (主隊)

預測 29.61%3.38公平賠率
EV -1.71%
優勢 -0.514%
Kelly -0.735%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.32

博彩公司預測分布
28.68%29.59%29.61%30.15%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.003.123.103.3233.33%32.04%32.26%30.12%最小值平均值中位數最大值

River Plate (客隊)

預測 40.57%2.46公平賠率
EV -1.01%
優勢 -0.415%
Kelly -0.703%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.44

博彩公司預測分布
38.53%40.65%40.62%41.79%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.152.282.302.4446.51%43.89%43.48%40.98%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 29.82%3.35公平賠率
EV -0.088%
優勢 -0.026%
Kelly -0.037%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.35

博彩公司預測分布
28.44%29.76%29.77%31.40%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.923.083.103.3534.25%32.49%32.26%29.85%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Independiente Santa Fe (主隊):29.61%;River Plate (客隊):40.57%;和局:29.82%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於3.353的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為3.350,期望值為-0.088%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (27 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 29.51%EV -1.71%E -0.514%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.15%EV -1.01%E -0.415%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%EV -3.67%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%EV -3.78%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.39%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 19:20
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.79%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -0.088%E -0.026%K -0.037%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 12:44
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 08:29
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-10 22:44
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-10 22:45
Pinnacle🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.43%EV -5.55%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.78%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.74%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 00:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -6.74%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.24%EV -5.88%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 19:20
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -6.74%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.24%EV -5.88%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -6.74%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.24%EV -5.88%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 19:19
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -6.74%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.24%EV -5.88%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 19:19
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 04:51
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 04:50
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 22:15
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-10 08:15
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-11 01:34
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-11 01:34
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-11 01:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-11 01:35
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-10 22:44
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -9.70%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -12.91%E -4.42%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-11 01:30
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-06 05:39
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -12.02%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-10 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -12.02%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-10 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -12.02%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-10 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -12.02%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-10 19:19
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%4.9%2026-08-10 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 29.59%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%15.7%2026-08-11 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 29.59%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%15.7%2026-08-11 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 29.59%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%15.7%2026-08-11 16:15