语言:简体中文
Independiente Santa Fe v River Plate
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Independiente Santa Fe (主队)
预测 29.61%3.38公平赔率
EV -1.71%
优势 -0.514%
Kelly -0.735%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.32
博彩公司预测分布
28.68%29.59%29.61%30.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.123.103.3233.33%32.04%32.26%30.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
River Plate (客队)
预测 40.57%2.46公平赔率
EV -1.01%
优势 -0.415%
Kelly -0.703%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.44
博彩公司预测分布
38.53%40.65%40.62%41.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.282.302.4446.51%43.89%43.48%40.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.82%3.35公平赔率
EV -0.088%
优势 -0.026%
Kelly -0.037%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.35
博彩公司预测分布
28.44%29.76%29.77%31.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.923.083.103.3534.25%32.49%32.26%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Independiente Santa Fe (主队)：29.61%；River Plate (客队)：40.57%；平局：29.82%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.353。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.350，期望值为-0.088%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.51%EV -1.71%E -0.514%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.15%EV -1.01%E -0.415%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%EV -3.67%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-10 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%EV -3.78%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.39%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.79%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -0.088%E -0.026%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 12:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 08:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.43%EV -5.55%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.78%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 19:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.74%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 00:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -6.74%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.24%EV -5.88%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -6.74%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.24%EV -5.88%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -6.74%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.24%EV -5.88%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 19:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -6.74%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.24%EV -5.88%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 19:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-10 04:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-10 04:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 08:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-11 01:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-11 01:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -9.70%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -12.91%E -4.42%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-11 01:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-06 05:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -12.02%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-10 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -12.02%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-10 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -12.02%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-10 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -12.02%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-10 19:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.59% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00% | 15.7% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.59% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00% | 15.7% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.59% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00% | 15.7% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |