默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Independiente Santa Fe v River Plate

2026-08-12 20:00 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

胜负盘

13 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Independiente Santa Fe (主队)

预测 32.86%3.04公平赔率
EV +0.564%
优势 +0.184%
Kelly +0.274%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 3.06

博彩公司预测分布
30.37%32.58%32.86%36.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.742.803.0640.82%36.45%35.71%32.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

River Plate (客队)

预测 36.77%2.72公平赔率
EV +1.11%
优势 +0.405%
Kelly +0.636%
增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
32.46%37.08%36.77%38.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.412.552.502.7541.49%39.23%40.00%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.37%3.29公平赔率
EV -1.30%
优势 -0.401%
Kelly -0.580%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
29.28%30.35%30.37%31.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.002.993.2535.71%33.37%33.44%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Independiente Santa Fe (主队):32.86%;River Plate (客队):36.77%;平局:30.37%。 对于“River Plate (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.72。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为2.75,由此产生+1.11%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (13 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -19.48%E -7.95%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV +1.11%E +0.405%K +0.636%G +0.007%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -12.84%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-31 11:04
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%EV -3.38%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.55%EV -1.46%E -0.545%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%EV -1.30%E -0.401%K -0.580%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 13:50
SportsBet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -12.91%E -4.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-31 12:28
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -13.90%E -5.30%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 12:29
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -1.30%E -0.401%K -0.580%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 13:40
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -11.27%E -4.17%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 13:55
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -11.27%E -4.17%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-31 13:49
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 13:50
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 13:49
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 13:49
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 13:50
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -17.84%E -7.14%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -14.97%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-31 12:30
Pinnacle3.06I 32.68%NM 30.37%EV +0.564%E +0.184%K +0.274%G +0.002%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.56%EV -11.39%E -4.73%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.08%EV -9.20%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 13:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-31 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-31 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-31 13:44
套利(2 种组合) +0.19%Pinnacle 3.06 (32.7%) / Coral 2.75 (36.4%) / Coolbet 3.25 (30.8%)显示全部 2 种组合
Independiente Santa Fe (主队)River Plate (客队)平局利润率
Pinnacle 3.06 (32.7%)Coral 2.75 (36.4%)1xBet 3.25 (30.8%)+0.188%
Pinnacle 3.06 (32.7%)Coral 2.75 (36.4%)Coolbet 3.25 (30.8%)+0.188%