The School of OddsIndependiente Medellín v Vasco da Gama
Head to Head
Option 1: Independiente Medellín (Local)
Odds
2.3542.55%Min
2.5139.79%Mean
2.5040.00%Median
2.7935.84%Max
Consensus probabilities
35.10%2.849Min
37.34%2.678Max
36.28%2.757Mean
36.28%2.757Median
36.28%2.757IQM
36.28%2.756Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.79 under the IQM model: 36.28%
EV +1.21%Edge +0.435%Kelly +0.678%Growth +0.008%
Option 2: Vasco da Gama (Visit)
Odds
2.5040.00%Min
2.6837.31%Mean
2.7037.04%Median
2.8035.71%Max
Consensus probabilities
33.72%2.966Min
35.49%2.818Max
34.30%2.916Mean
34.30%2.916Median
34.30%2.916IQM
34.21%2.923Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.80 under the IQM model: 34.30%
EV -3.97%Edge -1.42%Kelly -2.21%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
2.9034.48%Min
3.1531.78%Mean
3.1531.75%Median
3.3330.03%Max
Consensus probabilities
28.72%3.482Min
30.27%3.303Max
29.43%3.398Mean
29.43%3.398Median
29.43%3.398IQM
29.50%3.389Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.33 under the IQM model: 29.43%
EV -2.01%Edge -0.604%Kelly -0.863%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Independiente Medellín (Local) ▼ | Vasco da Gama (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.79I 35.84% NM 35.10%EV +1.21% E +0.435% K +0.678% G +0.008% | 2.76I 36.23% NM 35.49%EV -5.34% E -1.94% K -3.03% G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03% NM 29.41%EV -2.01% E -0.604% K -0.863% G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 07:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.31%EV -5.68% E -2.18% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.72%EV -3.97% E -1.42% K -2.21% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.97%EV -7.31% E -2.32% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46% NM 35.80%EV -5.68% E -2.18% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.12%EV -9.11% E -3.44% K -5.52% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.08%EV -5.84% E -1.82% K -2.65% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 11:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76% NM 35.79%EV -6.40% E -2.48% K -4.05% G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76% NM 33.94%EV -6.71% E -2.47% K -3.90% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 30.27%EV -10.25% E -3.36% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 12:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22% NM 36.24%EV -7.49% E -2.94% K -4.83% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 34.88%EV -9.11% E -3.44% K -5.52% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.88%EV -5.84% E -1.82% K -2.65% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-02 23:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22% NM 35.77%EV -7.49% E -2.94% K -4.83% G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17% NM 34.81%EV -10.14% E -3.87% K -6.26% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.42%EV -8.78% E -2.83% K -4.18% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-23 22:00 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.34%EV -9.31% E -3.72% K -6.20% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.94%EV -5.68% E -2.07% K -3.25% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.72%EV -4.36% E -1.34% K -1.94% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-23 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.34%EV -9.31% E -3.72% K -6.20% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.94%EV -5.68% E -2.07% K -3.25% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.72%EV -4.36% E -1.34% K -1.94% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-23 22:00 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.34%EV -9.31% E -3.72% K -6.20% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.94%EV -5.68% E -2.07% K -3.25% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.72%EV -4.36% E -1.34% K -1.94% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-23 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.34%EV -9.31% E -3.72% K -6.20% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.94%EV -5.68% E -2.07% K -3.25% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.72%EV -4.36% E -1.34% K -1.94% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-23 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.34%EV -9.31% E -3.72% K -6.20% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.94%EV -5.68% E -2.07% K -3.25% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.72%EV -4.36% E -1.34% K -1.94% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-23 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00% NM 36.54%EV -9.31% E -3.72% K -6.20% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 34.47%EV -9.11% E -3.44% K -5.52% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.00%EV -7.31% E -2.32% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00% NM 35.78%EV -9.31% E -3.72% K -6.20% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 34.40%EV -10.83% E -4.16% K -6.77% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 29.82%EV -11.72% E -3.91% K -5.86% G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-23 21:59 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00% NM 35.78%EV -9.31% E -3.72% K -6.20% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 34.40%EV -10.83% E -4.16% K -6.77% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 29.82%EV -11.72% E -3.91% K -5.86% G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-30 08:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82% NM 37.24%EV -11.12% E -4.54% K -7.67% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 33.79%EV -7.40% E -2.74% K -4.35% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.97%EV -7.31% E -2.32% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-23 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82% NM 37.24%EV -11.12% E -4.54% K -7.67% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 33.79%EV -7.40% E -2.74% K -4.35% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.97%EV -7.31% E -2.32% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-23 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82% NM 37.24%EV -11.12% E -4.54% K -7.67% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 33.79%EV -7.40% E -2.74% K -4.35% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.97%EV -7.31% E -2.32% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-23 22:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82% NM 37.24%EV -11.12% E -4.54% K -7.67% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 33.79%EV -7.40% E -2.74% K -4.35% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.97%EV -7.31% E -2.32% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-23 22:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82% NM 35.40%EV -11.12% E -4.54% K -7.67% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 34.69%EV -14.26% E -5.70% K -9.51% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 29.91%EV -14.66% E -5.06% K -7.72% G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-06-23 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55% NM 36.72%EV -14.75% E -6.28% K -10.92% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 34.52%EV -14.26% E -5.70% K -9.51% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 28.76%EV -11.72% E -3.91% K -5.86% G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-30 20:31 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth