La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Independiente Medellín v Vasco da Gama
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Independiente Medellín (Casa)
Previsione 33.66%2.97quota equa
EV -1.38%
Vantaggio -0.469%
Kelly -0.713%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.93
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.54%33.61%33.44%40.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.392.692.702.9341.84%37.14%37.04%34.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Vasco da Gama (Trasferta)
Previsione 35.84%2.79quota equa
EV +19.71%
Vantaggio +5.90%
Kelly +8.42%
Crescita +1.66%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.34
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.33%35.53%36.01%37.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.682.633.3441.67%37.27%38.10%29.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.50%3.28quota equa
EV +0.648%
Vantaggio +0.197%
Kelly +0.282%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.63%30.86%30.55%32.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.982.963.3035.71%33.51%33.73%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -19.55%E -8.18%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.33%EV +19.71%E +5.90%K +8.42%G +1.66% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%EV +0.648%E +0.197%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 03:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -6.76%E -2.44%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV +2.86%E +0.997%K +1.53%G +0.044% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -10.64%E -3.63%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 21:19 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV +2.14%E +0.752%K +1.16%G +0.025% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV +2.14%E +0.752%K +1.16%G +0.025% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 21:04 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV +2.14%E +0.752%K +1.16%G +0.025% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -10.03%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 21:04 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -12.48%E -4.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +0.352%E +0.126%K +0.196%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-22 21:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -12.48%E -4.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -1.44%E -0.523%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -13.08%E -4.59%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 21:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -12.48%E -4.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -1.44%E -0.523%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -13.08%E -4.59%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 21:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -12.48%E -4.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -1.44%E -0.523%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -13.08%E -4.59%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 21:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.02%E -1.90%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-22 21:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -5.02%E -1.90%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 21:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-22 21:34 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -11.81%E -4.51%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-22 21:34 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.48%E -4.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.55%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-22 21:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.54%EV -1.38%E -0.469%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.81%EV -7.17%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.65%EV -5.15%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-22 21:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -6.42%E -2.31%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -7.53%E -2.92%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.99%EV -9.11%E -3.06%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 21:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -11.55%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-22 21:45 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-22 21:34 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-22 21:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -12.16%E -4.22%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 21:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.60%E -5.21%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-22 21:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -13.98%E -5.83%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 21:44 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 21:44 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 21:45 |