语言:简体中文
Grêmio v Palestino
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Grêmio (主队)
预测 68.67%1.46公平赔率
EV -2.50%
优势 -1.76%
Kelly -5.94%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
66.68%68.42%69.13%69.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.351.361.4276.92%74.05%73.53%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
Palestino (客队)
预测 11.23%8.90公平赔率
EV +1.11%
优势 +0.124%
Kelly +0.139%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 9.00
博彩公司预测分布
10.61%11.36%11.14%12.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.178.509.0014.29%12.24%11.76%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 20.10%4.98公平赔率
EV -2.72%
优势 -0.561%
Kelly -0.707%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.84
博彩公司预测分布
19.52%20.22%19.73%21.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.334.554.504.8423.09%21.99%22.22%20.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Grêmio (主队)：68.67%；Palestino (客队)：11.23%；平局：20.10%。 对于“Palestino (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.90。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.00，对应+1.11%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%EV +1.11%E +0.124%K +0.139%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-20 23:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.48%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 8.59I 11.64%NM 11.00%EV -3.49%E -0.407%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.52%EV -2.72%E -0.561%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.13%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.54%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.53%E -0.953%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 23:38 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -9.36%E -7.09%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -9.36%E -7.09%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -9.36%E -7.09%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -9.36%E -7.09%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.90%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 8.48I 11.79%NM 11.21%EV -4.73%E -0.558%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.89%EV -3.92%E -0.821%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.11%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.48%EV -6.75%E -0.813%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.41%EV -10.56%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -10.12%E -1.27%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.53%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -10.12%E -1.27%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.97%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-20 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -11.24%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -10.56%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.50%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.72%EV -14.62%E -1.92%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -12.97%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-20 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -21.36%E -3.05%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.44% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.11% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.11% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.11% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.99% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.80% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21% | 2.1% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |