赔率学院

Grêmio v Palestino

开赛时间: 2026-05-21 00:00 UTC

最终结果: Grêmio 2–0 Palestino

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Grêmio (主队)

预测 68.67%1.46公平赔率
EV -2.50%
优势 -1.76%
Kelly -5.94%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.42

博彩公司预测分布
66.68%68.42%69.13%69.66%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.301.351.361.4276.92%74.05%73.53%70.42%MIN均值中位数MAX

Palestino (客队)

预测 11.23%8.90公平赔率
EV +1.11%
优势 +0.124%
Kelly +0.139%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 9.00

博彩公司预测分布
10.61%11.36%11.14%12.86%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
7.008.178.509.0014.29%12.24%11.76%11.11%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 20.10%4.98公平赔率
EV -2.72%
优势 -0.561%
Kelly -0.707%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.84

博彩公司预测分布
19.52%20.22%19.73%21.41%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.334.554.504.8423.09%21.99%22.22%20.66%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%EV +1.11%E +0.124%K +0.139%G +0.002%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 23:20
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 69.48%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.59I 11.64%NM 11.00%EV -3.49%E -0.407%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.52%EV -2.72%E -0.561%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 23:50
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.13%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.54%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 23:20
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.53%E -0.953%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 23:38
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 23:20
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -9.36%E -7.09%K -29.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 23:30
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -9.36%E -7.09%K -29.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 23:30
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -9.36%E -7.09%K -29.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 23:30
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -9.36%E -7.09%K -29.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 23:30
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-20 23:40
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-20 23:50
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.90%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.79%G +0.000%8.48I 11.79%NM 11.21%EV -4.73%E -0.558%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.89%EV -3.92%E -0.821%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 23:50
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.11%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.48%EV -6.75%E -0.813%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.41%EV -10.56%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 19:30
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -10.12%E -1.27%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.53%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 23:50
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -10.12%E -1.27%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.97%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-20 23:00
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -11.24%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -10.56%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.50%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.78%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.72%EV -14.62%E -1.92%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-20 23:40
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 23:40
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 23:40
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 23:40
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -12.97%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-20 23:39
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -21.36%E -3.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 23:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.44%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-05-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.11%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.2%2026-05-20 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.11%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.2%2026-05-20 23:50
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.11%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.2%2026-05-20 23:50
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.99%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.80%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%2.1%2026-05-20 23:40