L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Grêmio v Palestino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Grêmio (Local)
Prévision 68.67%1.46cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -5.94%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.68%68.42%69.13%69.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.361.4276.92%74.05%73.53%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Palestino (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.23%8.90cote équitable
EV +1.11%
Avantage +0.124%
Kelly +0.139%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 9.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.61%11.36%11.14%12.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.008.178.509.0014.29%12.24%11.76%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.10%4.98cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -0.561%
Kelly -0.707%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.52%20.22%19.73%21.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.554.504.8423.09%21.99%22.22%20.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%EV +1.11%E +0.124%K +0.139%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-20 23:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.48%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 8.59I 11.64%NM 11.00%EV -3.49%E -0.407%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.52%EV -2.72%E -0.561%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.13%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Unibet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.54%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.53%E -0.953%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 23:38 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -9.36%E -7.09%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -9.36%E -7.09%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -9.36%E -7.09%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -9.36%E -7.09%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 23:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -4.50%E -0.530%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.90%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 8.48I 11.79%NM 11.21%EV -4.73%E -0.558%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.89%EV -3.92%E -0.821%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.11%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.48%EV -6.75%E -0.813%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.41%EV -10.56%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 19:30 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -10.12%E -1.27%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.53%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -10.12%E -1.27%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.97%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-20 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -11.24%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -10.56%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.50%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.72%EV -14.62%E -1.92%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.62%E -4.86%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -12.97%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-20 23:39 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -21.36%E -3.05%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.44% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.11% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.11% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.11% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.99% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.80% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21% | 2.1% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |