语言:简体中文
Grêmio v Club Bolívar
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Grêmio (主队)
预测 64.10%1.56公平赔率
EV -3.21%
优势 -2.12%
Kelly -6.29%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.51
博彩公司预测分布
62.76%64.15%64.51%66.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.431.441.5173.53%69.79%69.44%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
Club Bolívar (客队)
预测 14.47%6.91公平赔率
EV +8.49%
优势 +1.13%
Kelly +1.31%
增长率 +0.111%
假设最高赔率为 7.50
博彩公司预测分布
12.52%14.34%14.20%16.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.756.736.757.5017.39%14.87%14.81%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 21.43%4.67公平赔率
EV -1.41%
优势 -0.306%
Kelly -0.391%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.60
博彩公司预测分布
20.53%21.51%21.28%22.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.284.304.6025.00%23.38%23.26%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Grêmio (主队)：64.10%；Club Bolívar (客队)：14.47%；平局：21.43%。 对于“Club Bolívar (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.91。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.50，对应+8.49%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.14%EV -6.41%E -4.39%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +8.49%E +1.13%K +1.31%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -1.41%E -0.306%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.20%EV -5.13%E -3.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +8.49%E +1.13%K +1.31%G +0.111% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%EV -5.69%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.49%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +8.49%E +1.13%K +1.31%G +0.111% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.65%EV -8.34%E -5.83%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +8.49%E +1.13%K +1.31%G +0.111% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.65%EV -8.34%E -5.83%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +8.49%E +1.13%K +1.31%G +0.111% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.65%EV -8.34%E -5.83%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +8.49%E +1.13%K +1.31%G +0.111% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.62%E -6.82%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV +7.04%E +0.952%K +1.10%G +0.078% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -8.91%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.13%E -3.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV +1.26%E +0.180%K +0.210%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -10.26%E -7.33%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV +1.26%E +0.180%K +0.210%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -10.26%E -7.33%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV +1.26%E +0.180%K +0.210%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -10.26%E -7.33%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV +1.26%E +0.180%K +0.210%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -10.26%E -7.33%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV +1.26%E +0.180%K +0.210%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.58%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.64%E -0.240%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.41%E -0.306%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -10.26%E -7.33%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -2.36%E -0.349%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.97%E -0.919%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.97%E -0.919%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.97%E -0.919%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.97%E -0.919%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -10.26%E -7.33%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -5.97%E -0.919%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.19%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -12.82%E -9.43%K -35.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -5.97%E -0.919%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.53%EV -10.26%E -7.33%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -9.59%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.13%E -3.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.21%E -2.20%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.55%E -0.789%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -5.77%E -3.93%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -13.21%E -2.20%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -3.55%E -0.789%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.13%E -3.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.21%E -2.20%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.69%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-30 21:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.30%EV -10.90%E -7.84%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -14.65%E -2.48%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -6.77%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.77%EV -3.21%E -2.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.40%EV -16.39%E -2.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.83%EV -2.48%E -0.545%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -16.82%E -2.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.92% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.92% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.2% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.86% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 1.2% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |