赔率学院

Club Independiente Petrolero v Botafogo

开赛时间： 2026-05-21 00:00 UTC

最终结果： Club Independiente Petrolero 0–3 Botafogo

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Club Independiente Petrolero (主队)

预测 7.07%14.14公平赔率
EV +13.13%
优势 +0.821%
Kelly +0.875%
增长率 +0.115%

假设最高赔率为 16.00

博彩公司预测分布
5.95%6.97%7.17%9.99%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
9.0012.9313.0016.0011.11%7.73%7.69%6.25%MIN均值中位数MAX

Botafogo (客队)

预测 78.65%1.27公平赔率
EV -4.83%
优势 -3.99%
Kelly -23.00%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.21

博彩公司预测分布
76.18%78.72%78.51%80.72%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.121.171.181.2189.29%85.16%84.75%82.64%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 14.28%7.00公平赔率
EV +7.08%
优势 +0.943%
Kelly +1.09%
增长率 +0.077%

假设最高赔率为 7.50

博彩公司预测分布
12.99%14.31%14.33%15.75%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
5.906.566.507.5016.95%15.24%15.38%13.33%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +13.13%E +0.821%K +0.875%G +0.115%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.72%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.32%EV +2.08%E +0.291%K +0.338%G +0.007%5.0%2026-05-19 07:49
ATG (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +6.06%E +0.404%K +0.433%G +0.026%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV +7.08%E +0.943%K +1.09%G +0.077%2.6%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -1.01%E -0.072%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -0.063%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 23:40
Casumo14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -1.01%E -0.072%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -0.063%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet (NL)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -1.01%E -0.072%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -0.063%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 23:40
Svenska Spel14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -1.01%E -0.072%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -0.063%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 23:40
SportsBet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.48%EV -1.01%E -0.072%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.57%EV -10.34%E -9.07%K -73.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-20 22:20
Pinnacle13.75I 7.27%NM 6.77%EV -2.78%E -0.202%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.40%E -5.38%K -33.70%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 14.99%EV -11.34%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 23:50
1xBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -0.063%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:50
DraftKings13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.40%E -5.38%K -33.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -0.063%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 23:40
William Hill13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 23:50
888sport13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 23:50
888sport (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 23:50
Mr Green (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 23:50
LeoVegas13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.58%EV -10.34%E -9.07%K -73.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -3.63%E -0.538%K -0.632%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-20 23:40
Virgin Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.58%EV -10.34%E -9.07%K -73.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -3.63%E -0.538%K -0.632%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-20 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.58%EV -10.34%E -9.07%K -73.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -3.63%E -0.538%K -0.632%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-20 23:40
LiveScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.58%EV -10.34%E -9.07%K -73.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -3.63%E -0.538%K -0.632%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-20 23:40
Paddy Power13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 79.46%EV -11.91%E -10.63%K -99.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-20 22:20
NordicBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -11.62%E -0.929%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -15.77%E -2.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 23:40
Bovada12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -15.15%E -1.26%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 23:50
Unibet (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.15%E -1.26%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -6.40%E -5.38%K -33.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 23:50
Sky Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV -15.15%E -1.26%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.28%EV -10.34%E -9.07%K -73.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -10.77%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-20 22:20
betfred_uk11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -22.22%E -2.02%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-20 23:49
Unibet (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 8.76%EV -29.29%E -2.93%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 76.87%EV -10.34%E -9.07%K -73.83%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.37%EV -12.91%E -2.12%K -2.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-20 23:49
Coral9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -36.36%E -4.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.18%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-20 22:49
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook17.50I 5.71%NM 5.65%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-05-20 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.48%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.54%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.4%2026-05-20 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.48%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.54%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.4%2026-05-20 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.46%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.25%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29%1.7%2026-05-20 23:50
Smarkets17.51I 5.71%NM 5.55%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.96%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.49%2.9%2026-05-20 23:50