La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Club Independiente Petrolero v Botafogo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Club Independiente Petrolero (Casa)
Previsione 7.07%14.14quota equa
EV +13.13%
Vantaggio +0.821%
Kelly +0.875%
Crescita +0.115%
ipotizzando la quota massima 16.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
5.95%6.97%7.17%9.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
9.0012.9313.0016.0011.11%7.73%7.69%6.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Botafogo (Trasferta)
Previsione 78.65%1.27quota equa
EV -4.83%
Vantaggio -3.99%
Kelly -23.00%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.21
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.18%78.72%78.51%80.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.121.171.181.2189.29%85.16%84.75%82.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 14.28%7.00quota equa
EV +7.08%
Vantaggio +0.943%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescita +0.077%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.99%14.31%14.33%15.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.906.566.507.5016.95%15.24%15.38%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +13.13%E +0.821%K +0.875%G +0.115% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.72%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.32%EV +2.08%E +0.291%K +0.338%G +0.007% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 07:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +6.06%E +0.404%K +0.433%G +0.026% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV +7.08%E +0.943%K +1.09%G +0.077% | 2.6% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Unibet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -1.01%E -0.072%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -0.063%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Casumo | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -1.01%E -0.072%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -0.063%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -1.01%E -0.072%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -0.063%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -1.01%E -0.072%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -0.063%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| SportsBet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.48%EV -1.01%E -0.072%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.57%EV -10.34%E -9.07%K -73.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-20 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.77%EV -2.78%E -0.202%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.40%E -5.38%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 14.99%EV -11.34%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| 1xBet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -0.063%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.40%E -5.38%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -0.063%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| William Hill | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| 888sport | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| LeoVegas | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.58%EV -10.34%E -9.07%K -73.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -3.63%E -0.538%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.58%EV -10.34%E -9.07%K -73.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -3.63%E -0.538%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.58%EV -10.34%E -9.07%K -73.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -3.63%E -0.538%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.58%EV -10.34%E -9.07%K -73.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -3.63%E -0.538%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -8.08%E -0.622%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.46%EV -11.91%E -10.63%K -99.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-20 22:20 |
| NordicBet | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -11.62%E -0.929%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -15.77%E -2.67%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Bovada | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -15.15%E -1.26%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.15%E -1.26%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -6.40%E -5.38%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Sky Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV -15.15%E -1.26%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.28%EV -10.34%E -9.07%K -73.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -10.77%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-20 22:20 |
| betfred_uk | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -22.22%E -2.02%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-20 23:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.76%EV -29.29%E -2.93%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.87%EV -10.34%E -9.07%K -73.83%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.37%EV -12.91%E -2.12%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-20 23:49 |
| Coral | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -36.36%E -4.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.18%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-20 22:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.65% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.48% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.54% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98% | 1.4% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.48% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.54% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98% | 1.4% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.46% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.25% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29% | 1.7% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Smarkets | 17.51I 5.71%NM 5.55% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.96% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.49% | 2.9% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |