La scuola delle quote

Caracas FC v Club Independiente Petrolero

Inizio: 2026-04-15 22:00 UTC

Finale: Caracas FC 1–0 Club Independiente Petrolero

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Caracas FC (Casa)

Previsione 58.39%1.71quota equa
EV -0.745%
Vantaggio -0.438%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.79%59.36%58.39%63.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.551.561.7069.44%64.66%64.10%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Club Independiente Petrolero (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.74%6.35quota equa
EV +18.03%
Vantaggio +2.40%
Kelly +2.77%
Crescita +0.500%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.02%15.38%15.74%17.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.106.196.007.5019.61%16.17%16.67%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.88%3.86quota equa
EV +7.39%
Vantaggio +1.78%
Kelly +2.35%
Crescita +0.173%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.98%25.26%25.88%26.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.713.654.1529.41%26.99%27.40%24.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.58%EV -8.92%E -5.72%K -15.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.02%EV +18.03%E +2.40%K +2.77%G +0.500%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%EV +3.51%E +0.877%K +1.17%G +0.041%2.4%2026-04-15 21:54
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -12.42%E -8.28%K -24.84%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.43%EV +11.74%E +1.65%K +1.92%G +0.226%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV +7.39%E +1.78%K +2.35%G +0.173%4.8%2026-04-14 18:01
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -12.42%E -8.28%K -24.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +10.17%E +1.45%K +1.69%G +0.172%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +0.919%E +0.236%K +0.317%G +0.003%6.6%2026-04-15 21:54
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -12.42%E -8.28%K -24.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +10.17%E +1.45%K +1.69%G +0.172%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +0.919%E +0.236%K +0.317%G +0.003%6.6%2026-04-15 21:54
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -12.42%E -8.28%K -24.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +10.17%E +1.45%K +1.69%G +0.172%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +0.919%E +0.236%K +0.317%G +0.003%6.6%2026-04-15 21:54
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -12.42%E -8.28%K -24.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +10.17%E +1.45%K +1.69%G +0.172%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +0.919%E +0.236%K +0.317%G +0.003%6.6%2026-04-15 21:54
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -14.17%E -9.64%K -30.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +10.17%E +1.45%K +1.69%G +0.172%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -1.67%E -0.439%K -0.596%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 21:54
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.64%EV -15.34%E -10.58%K -34.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV +6.23%E +0.923%K +1.08%G +0.068%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -1.67%E -0.439%K -0.596%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 21:54
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 62.80%EV -15.93%E -11.06%K -36.19%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV +6.23%E +0.923%K +1.08%G +0.068%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -1.67%E -0.439%K -0.596%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-15 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.80%EV -15.93%E -11.06%K -36.19%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV +6.23%E +0.923%K +1.08%G +0.068%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -1.67%E -0.439%K -0.596%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-15 21:54
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 57.87%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.57%EV -5.26%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.56%EV -8.66%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 21:54
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.55%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 21:49
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -10.67%E -6.97%K -20.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-15 21:39
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.03%EV -0.745%E -0.438%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.92%EV -3.22%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-15 21:54
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.55%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 21:49
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 21:54
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 21:54
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 21:54
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 21:54
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.33%E -5.31%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-15 21:44
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -8.33%E -5.31%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -17.38%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-15 21:34
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.33%E -5.31%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -17.38%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.02%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-15 21:44
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.46%EV -11.84%E -7.84%K -23.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.01%EV -19.74%E -3.87%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -12.02%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-15 21:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.09%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-04-15 21:54
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.87%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.9%2026-04-15 21:54