L’École des cotesFrançais
Caracas FC v Club Independiente Petrolero
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Caracas FC (Local)
Prévision 58.39%1.71cote équitable
EV -0.745%
Avantage -0.438%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.79%59.36%58.39%63.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.551.561.7069.44%64.66%64.10%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Club Independiente Petrolero (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.74%6.35cote équitable
EV +18.03%
Avantage +2.40%
Kelly +2.77%
Croissance +0.500%
avec la cote maximale 7.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.02%15.38%15.74%17.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.106.196.007.5019.61%16.17%16.67%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.88%3.86cote équitable
EV +7.39%
Avantage +1.78%
Kelly +2.35%
Croissance +0.173%
avec la cote maximale 4.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.98%25.26%25.88%26.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.713.654.1529.41%26.99%27.40%24.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.58%EV -8.92%E -5.72%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.02%EV +18.03%E +2.40%K +2.77%G +0.500% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%EV +3.51%E +0.877%K +1.17%G +0.041% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -12.42%E -8.28%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.43%EV +11.74%E +1.65%K +1.92%G +0.226% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV +7.39%E +1.78%K +2.35%G +0.173% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -12.42%E -8.28%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +10.17%E +1.45%K +1.69%G +0.172% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +0.919%E +0.236%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -12.42%E -8.28%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +10.17%E +1.45%K +1.69%G +0.172% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +0.919%E +0.236%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -12.42%E -8.28%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +10.17%E +1.45%K +1.69%G +0.172% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +0.919%E +0.236%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -12.42%E -8.28%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +10.17%E +1.45%K +1.69%G +0.172% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +0.919%E +0.236%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -14.17%E -9.64%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +10.17%E +1.45%K +1.69%G +0.172% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -1.67%E -0.439%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.64%EV -15.34%E -10.58%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV +6.23%E +0.923%K +1.08%G +0.068% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -1.67%E -0.439%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.80%EV -15.93%E -11.06%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV +6.23%E +0.923%K +1.08%G +0.068% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -1.67%E -0.439%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.80%EV -15.93%E -11.06%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV +6.23%E +0.923%K +1.08%G +0.068% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -1.67%E -0.439%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.87%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.57%EV -5.26%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.56%EV -8.66%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.55%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -10.67%E -6.97%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.03%EV -0.745%E -0.438%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.92%EV -3.22%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.55%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 21:49 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.33%E -5.31%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -8.33%E -5.31%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -17.38%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-15 21:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.33%E -5.31%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -17.38%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.02%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.46%EV -11.84%E -7.84%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.01%EV -19.74%E -3.87%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -12.02%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (2)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.09% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |