L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Carabobo FC v River Plate
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Carabobo FC (Local)
Prévision 22.10%4.52cote équitable
EV +3.89%
Avantage +0.828%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.041%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.47%22.12%22.01%24.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.264.204.7026.67%23.49%23.81%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
River Plate (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.27%2.12cote équitable
EV -4.52%
Avantage -2.24%
Kelly -4.43%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.68%47.16%47.32%50.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.921.912.0254.95%52.02%52.36%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.63%3.26cote équitable
EV +1.07%
Avantage +0.326%
Kelly +0.467%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.77%30.72%30.67%32.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.063.053.3035.71%32.71%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV +3.89%E +0.828%K +1.05%G +0.041% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%EV -8.30%E -4.28%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV +1.07%E +0.326%K +0.467%G +0.005% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 00:04 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV +1.68%E +0.365%K +0.467%G +0.008% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.96%EV -10.67%E -5.64%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -1.99%E -0.621%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.68%E +0.365%K +0.467%G +0.008% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -11.14%E -5.92%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -1.99%E -0.621%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 00:05 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.68%E +0.365%K +0.467%G +0.008% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -11.14%E -5.92%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -1.99%E -0.621%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.68%E +0.365%K +0.467%G +0.008% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -11.14%E -5.92%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -1.99%E -0.621%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 00:05 |
| Pinnacle | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.96%EV +0.355%E +0.078%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.11%EV -4.52%E -2.24%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -8.73%E -2.93%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -2.74%E -0.623%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -13.97%E -7.68%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -2.74%E -0.623%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -13.97%E -7.68%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -2.74%E -0.623%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -13.97%E -7.68%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -2.74%E -0.623%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -13.97%E -7.68%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.15%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 00:14 |
| 1xBet | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.55%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV +1.07%E +0.326%K +0.467%G +0.005% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -1.99%E -0.621%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 23:34 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.69%EV -12.10%E -4.21%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 00:19 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Bovada | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.37%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 00:21 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -11.58%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.52%E -2.24%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.58%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -12.69%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -4.52%E -2.24%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.96%EV -8.73%E -2.93%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.79%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.74%EV -14.90%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.07%EV -12.08%E -6.50%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.19%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -17.11%E -4.56%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Matchbook | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |