La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Carabobo FC v River Plate
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Carabobo FC (Local)
Predicción 22.10%4.52momio equitativo
EV +3.89%
Ventaja +0.828%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.47%22.12%22.01%24.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.264.204.7026.67%23.49%23.81%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
River Plate (Visitante)
Predicción 47.27%2.12momio equitativo
EV -4.52%
Ventaja -2.24%
Kelly -4.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.68%47.16%47.32%50.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.921.912.0254.95%52.02%52.36%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.63%3.26momio equitativo
EV +1.07%
Ventaja +0.326%
Kelly +0.467%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.77%30.72%30.67%32.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.063.053.3035.71%32.71%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (26 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV +3.89%E +0.828%K +1.05%G +0.041% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%EV -8.30%E -4.28%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV +1.07%E +0.326%K +0.467%G +0.005% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 00:04 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV +1.68%E +0.365%K +0.467%G +0.008% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.96%EV -10.67%E -5.64%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -1.99%E -0.621%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.68%E +0.365%K +0.467%G +0.008% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -11.14%E -5.92%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -1.99%E -0.621%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 00:05 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.68%E +0.365%K +0.467%G +0.008% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -11.14%E -5.92%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -1.99%E -0.621%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.68%E +0.365%K +0.467%G +0.008% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -11.14%E -5.92%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -1.99%E -0.621%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 00:05 |
| Pinnacle | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.96%EV +0.355%E +0.078%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.11%EV -4.52%E -2.24%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -8.73%E -2.93%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -2.74%E -0.623%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -13.97%E -7.68%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -2.74%E -0.623%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -13.97%E -7.68%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -2.74%E -0.623%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -13.97%E -7.68%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -2.74%E -0.623%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -13.97%E -7.68%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.15%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 00:14 |
| 1xBet | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.55%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV +1.07%E +0.326%K +0.467%G +0.005% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -1.99%E -0.621%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 23:34 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.69%EV -12.10%E -4.21%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 00:19 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Bovada | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.37%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 00:21 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -11.58%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.52%E -2.24%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.58%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -12.69%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -4.52%E -2.24%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.96%EV -8.73%E -2.93%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.79%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.74%EV -14.90%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.07%EV -12.08%E -6.50%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.19%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -17.11%E -4.56%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Matchbook | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |