La scuola delle quote

CA Tigre BA v Nacional de Montevideo

2026-07-28 22:00 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

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27 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

CA Tigre BA (Casa)

Previsione 45.07%2.22quota equa
EV -3.10%
Vantaggio -1.44%
Kelly -2.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.91%45.06%45.02%45.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.052.052.1551.81%48.89%48.78%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nacional de Montevideo (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.93%3.71quota equa
EV -3.04%
Vantaggio -0.845%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.47%26.99%26.76%29.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.383.403.6032.26%29.54%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.00%3.57quota equa
EV -2.01%
Vantaggio -0.573%
Kelly -0.803%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.35%27.95%28.22%28.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.333.303.5031.25%30.02%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 02:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.38%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -3.04%E -0.845%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -3.41%E -0.988%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 13:04
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.01%E -0.573%K -0.803%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 16:00
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.47%EV -4.66%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.48%EV -7.89%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 06:54
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -6.21%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 16:39
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -6.71%E -3.24%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 12:34
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -6.71%E -3.24%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 12:34
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -6.71%E -3.24%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 12:34
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -6.71%E -3.24%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 13:04
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.01%E -0.573%K -0.803%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:04
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.01%E -0.573%K -0.803%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:05
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.81%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 08:16
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 22:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -13.81%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -3.41%E -0.988%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 16:05
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 06:14
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 06:14
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 06:15
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 06:14
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -8.06%E -3.95%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -3.41%E -0.988%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 06:49
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 15:19
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 15:19
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 15:19
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -13.81%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -4.81%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 16:04
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 17:45
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -7.61%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.52%EV -13.02%E -6.74%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -13.81%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.03%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-24 06:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 44.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%11.8%2026-07-25 22:05