语言:简体中文
CA Tigre BA v Macará
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
CA Tigre BA (主队)
预测 63.66%1.57公平赔率
EV -5.14%
优势 -3.45%
Kelly -10.50%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.49
博彩公司预测分布
60.93%63.82%63.66%65.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.34%69.44%67.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
Macará (客队)
预测 13.15%7.61公平赔率
EV +11.75%
优势 +1.38%
Kelly +1.57%
增长率 +0.184%
假设最高赔率为 8.50
博彩公司预测分布
11.36%12.91%13.15%15.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.007.237.008.5016.67%13.84%14.29%11.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.19%4.31公平赔率
EV +0.886%
优势 +0.204%
Kelly +0.264%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 4.35
博彩公司预测分布
22.41%23.28%23.19%24.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.653.984.004.3527.40%25.10%25.00%22.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：CA Tigre BA (主队)：63.66%；Macará (客队)：13.15%；平局：23.19%。 对于“Macará (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.61。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.50，对应+11.75%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.66%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +11.75%E +1.38%K +1.57%G +0.184% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.41%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18%EV +5.17%E +0.647%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.41%EV +0.886%E +0.204%K +0.264%G +0.002% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.53%EV -7.05%E -4.83%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.96%EV +5.17%E +0.647%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -1.43%E -0.337%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.18%EV -7.05%E -4.83%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.17%E +0.647%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -3.75%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 21:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.67%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV +5.17%E +0.647%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -8.96%E -6.27%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +5.17%E +0.647%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -8.96%E -6.27%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +5.17%E +0.647%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -8.96%E -6.27%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +5.17%E +0.647%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.40%EV -12.15%E -8.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.40%EV -12.15%E -8.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.55%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.24%EV -6.00%E -0.839%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.21%EV -5.38%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.44%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -7.97%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -7.97%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.97%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -10.87%E -7.77%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -7.97%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.87%E -7.77%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.97%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.78%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.34%EV -9.29%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -11.26%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 21:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -14.55%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -14.55%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -14.55%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.14%EV -10.87%E -7.77%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.55%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.83%EV -10.24%E -7.26%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.29%EV -19.81%E -3.25%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.88%EV -15.35%E -4.21%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -21.12%E -3.52%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.17% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.82% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.82% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.65% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.50% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14% | 13.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |