L’École des cotesFrançais
CA Tigre BA v Macará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
CA Tigre BA (Local)
Prévision 63.66%1.57cote équitable
EV -5.14%
Avantage -3.45%
Kelly -10.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.93%63.82%63.66%65.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.34%69.44%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Macará (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.15%7.61cote équitable
EV +11.75%
Avantage +1.38%
Kelly +1.57%
Croissance +0.184%
avec la cote maximale 8.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.36%12.91%13.15%15.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.237.008.5016.67%13.84%14.29%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.19%4.31cote équitable
EV +0.886%
Avantage +0.204%
Kelly +0.264%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 4.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.41%23.28%23.19%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.653.984.004.3527.40%25.10%25.00%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (24 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.66%EV -6.42%E -4.37%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +11.75%E +1.38%K +1.57%G +0.184% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.41%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18%EV +5.17%E +0.647%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.41%EV +0.886%E +0.204%K +0.264%G +0.002% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.53%EV -7.05%E -4.83%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.96%EV +5.17%E +0.647%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -1.43%E -0.337%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.18%EV -7.05%E -4.83%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.17%E +0.647%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -3.75%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 21:58 |
| Unibet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.67%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV +5.17%E +0.647%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -8.96%E -6.27%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +5.17%E +0.647%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -8.96%E -6.27%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +5.17%E +0.647%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -8.96%E -6.27%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +5.17%E +0.647%K +0.739%G +0.038% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.40%EV -12.15%E -8.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.40%EV -12.15%E -8.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -1.40%E -0.187%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.55%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.24%EV -6.00%E -0.839%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.21%EV -5.38%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.44%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -7.97%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -7.97%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -7.97%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -10.87%E -7.77%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -7.97%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.87%E -7.77%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.97%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.78%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.34%EV -9.29%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -11.26%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 21:55 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -14.55%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -14.55%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -8.33%E -5.78%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -14.55%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.14%EV -10.87%E -7.77%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.55%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.83%EV -10.24%E -7.26%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.29%EV -19.81%E -3.25%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.88%EV -15.35%E -4.21%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -5.78%E -3.91%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -21.12%E -3.52%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.17% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.82% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.82% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.65% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.50% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14% | 13.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |