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CA Tigre BA v América de Cali
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CA Tigre BA (Local)
Prediction 48.91%2.04fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.81%48.92%48.91%49.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.882.0055.56%52.86%53.19%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América de Cali (Visit)
Prediction 21.57%4.64fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.406%
Kelly -0.520%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.54%21.38%21.57%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.104.104.5526.67%24.39%24.39%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.52%3.39fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.328%
Kelly -0.468%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.49%29.70%29.52%30.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.143.153.3533.90%31.89%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CA Tigre BA (Local): 48.91%; América de Cali (Visit): 21.57%; Draw: 29.52%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -1.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.37%EV -2.19%E -1.09%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -8.32%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.10%E -0.328%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -4.64%E -2.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -6.16%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 16:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -4.64%E -2.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -11.55%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -5.12%E -2.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -11.55%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -5.12%E -2.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -11.55%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -5.12%E -2.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -11.55%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 04:07 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.24%EV -8.06%E -4.29%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -14.79%E -3.74%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 18:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.24%EV -8.06%E -4.29%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -14.79%E -3.74%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.24%EV -8.06%E -4.29%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -14.79%E -3.74%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.24%EV -8.06%E -4.29%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -14.79%E -3.74%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.98%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.406%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -6.41%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -7.24%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 10:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -9.53%E -5.15%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -11.55%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.53%E -5.15%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.71%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 16:38 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.53%E -5.15%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.87%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 04:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.71%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.27%EV -11.97%E -6.65%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -15.87%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.45%EV -12.91%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-21 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -11.97%E -6.65%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -19.10%E -5.09%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 06:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 42.58% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.36% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.06% | 22.3% | 2026-04-23 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 42.58% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.36% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.06% | 22.3% | 2026-04-23 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 39.69% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 30.53% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 29.77% | 40.0% | 2026-04-23 13:29 |