La scuola delle quote

CA Tigre BA v América de Cali

Inizio: 2026-05-01 00:00 UTC

Finale: CA Tigre BA 2–0 América de Cali

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

CA Tigre BA (Casa)

Previsione 48.91%2.04quota equa
EV -2.19%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -2.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.81%48.92%48.91%49.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.891.882.0055.56%52.86%53.19%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

América de Cali (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.57%4.64quota equa
EV -1.85%
Vantaggio -0.406%
Kelly -0.520%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.54%21.38%21.57%23.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.104.104.5526.67%24.39%24.39%21.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.52%3.39quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.328%
Kelly -0.468%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.49%29.70%29.52%30.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.143.153.3533.90%31.89%31.75%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.37%EV -2.19%E -1.09%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -8.32%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.10%E -0.328%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 18:15
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -4.64%E -2.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -6.16%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 16:04
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -4.64%E -2.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -11.55%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:15
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -5.12%E -2.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -11.55%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -5.12%E -2.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -11.55%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:15
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -5.12%E -2.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -11.55%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:15
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 04:07
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 18:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 18:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 18:30
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.24%EV -8.06%E -4.29%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -14.79%E -3.74%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:14
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.24%EV -8.06%E -4.29%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -14.79%E -3.74%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.24%EV -8.06%E -4.29%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -14.79%E -3.74%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:15
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.24%EV -8.06%E -4.29%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -14.79%E -3.74%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 08:39
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 49.98%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.406%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -6.41%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 16:35
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -7.24%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 10:39
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -9.53%E -5.15%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -11.55%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 16:40
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.53%E -5.15%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.71%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 16:38
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.53%E -5.15%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.87%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 04:09
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.71%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.27%EV -11.97%E -6.65%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -15.87%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.45%EV -12.91%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-21 16:05
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -11.97%E -6.65%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -19.10%E -5.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-21 16:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%7.8%2026-04-22 06:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 42.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.36%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.06%22.3%2026-04-23 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 42.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.36%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.06%22.3%2026-04-23 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 39.69%2.34I 42.74%NM 30.53%2.40I 41.67%NM 29.77%40.0%2026-04-23 13:29