La scuola delle quote

CA Juventud v Clube Atlético Mineiro

Inizio: 2026-05-05 22:00 UTC

Finale: CA Juventud 2–2 Clube Atlético Mineiro

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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24 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

CA Juventud (Casa)

Previsione 25.97%3.85quota equa
EV +1.02%
Vantaggio +0.263%
Kelly +0.353%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.75%25.65%25.97%26.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.573.553.8929.41%28.03%28.17%25.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Clube Atlético Mineiro (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.74%2.24quota equa
EV -1.57%
Vantaggio -0.713%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.48%44.82%44.74%46.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.082.092.2051.28%48.07%47.85%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.29%3.41quota equa
EV -1.88%
Vantaggio -0.561%
Kelly -0.800%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.55%29.54%29.29%31.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.123.123.3534.48%32.00%32.05%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.89I 25.71%NM 24.48%EV +1.02%E +0.263%K +0.353%G +0.004%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.22%EV -7.83%E -3.80%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 21:30
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -1.32%E -0.346%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.52%E -5.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 21:30
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.32%E -0.346%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -10.52%E -5.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-05 21:30
1xBet3.73I 26.81%NM 24.95%EV -3.13%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.40%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.64%EV -8.03%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:30
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.26%EV -1.57%E -0.713%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -1.88%E -0.561%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-05 21:30
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 21:15
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:30
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 21:19
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.52%E -5.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-05 21:30
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.22%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 21:30
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.22%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 21:30
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.22%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 21:30
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.22%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 21:30
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -6.94%E -3.34%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 21:15
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 21:30
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 21:30
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 21:30
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 21:30
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -12.75%E -6.54%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-05 21:30
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 21:30
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -7.83%E -3.80%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -7.83%E -3.80%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 21:30
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -7.83%E -3.80%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 21:30
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -7.83%E -3.80%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 21:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-05-05 21:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-05-05 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-05-05 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-05-05 21:30
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%3.0%2026-05-05 21:30