L’École des cotesFrançais
CA Juventud v Clube Atlético Mineiro
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
CA Juventud (Local)
Prévision 25.97%3.85cote équitable
EV +1.02%
Avantage +0.263%
Kelly +0.353%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 3.89
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.75%25.65%25.97%26.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.573.553.8929.41%28.03%28.17%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Clube Atlético Mineiro (Visiteur)
Prévision 44.74%2.24cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.713%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.48%44.82%44.74%46.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.082.092.2051.28%48.07%47.85%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.29%3.41cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.561%
Kelly -0.800%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.55%29.54%29.29%31.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.123.123.3534.48%32.00%32.05%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (24 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.48%EV +1.02%E +0.263%K +0.353%G +0.004% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.22%EV -7.83%E -3.80%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -1.32%E -0.346%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.52%E -5.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.32%E -0.346%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -10.52%E -5.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.95%EV -3.13%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.40%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.64%EV -8.03%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.26%EV -1.57%E -0.713%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -1.88%E -0.561%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 21:19 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.52%E -5.26%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.22%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Casumo | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.22%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.22%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.22%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -6.94%E -3.34%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -12.75%E -6.54%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -7.83%E -3.80%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -7.83%E -3.80%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -7.83%E -3.80%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -7.83%E -3.80%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |