La scuola delle quote

CA Boston River v Millonarios

Inizio: 2026-05-07 22:00 UTC

Finale: CA Boston River 2–4 Millonarios

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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26 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

CA Boston River (Casa)

Previsione 19.25%5.20quota equa
EV -1.65%
Vantaggio -0.323%
Kelly -0.401%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.24%19.24%19.15%20.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.784.785.1122.73%20.90%20.94%19.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Millonarios (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.61%1.83quota equa
EV -0.064%
Vantaggio -0.035%
Kelly -0.077%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.59%54.51%54.73%55.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.721.711.8360.61%58.26%58.48%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.14%3.83quota equa
EV -2.75%
Vantaggio -0.738%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.54%26.24%26.12%27.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.473.483.7231.25%28.79%28.78%26.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle5.11I 19.57%NM 18.52%EV -1.65%E -0.323%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.79%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 21:55
1xBet5.03I 19.88%NM 18.89%EV -3.19%E -0.634%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.57%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.54%EV -2.75%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 21:55
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -3.77%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -5.36%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 21:34
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -3.77%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -7.19%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 21:53
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -3.77%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 21:40
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -3.77%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-07 21:54
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -3.77%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 21:34
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -4.73%E -0.955%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.89%E -6.00%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.19%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 21:34
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.92%EV -5.69%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.34%EV -0.064%E -0.035%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.74%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-07 21:55
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -5.69%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 21:55
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 21:49
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.53%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 21:55
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 21:49
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.58%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.10%EV -2.79%E -1.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 21:55
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.58%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.10%EV -2.79%E -1.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 21:54
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.58%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.10%EV -2.79%E -1.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 21:55
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -8.58%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-07 21:54
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.53%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 21:54
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.53%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 21:55
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.53%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 21:55
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 21:55
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 21:54
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 21:54
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -13.39%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -9.89%E -6.00%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -16.34%E -5.11%K -7.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-07 21:50
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -15.31%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-07 21:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%0.4%2026-05-07 21:50
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%0.4%2026-05-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-07 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-07 21:55
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-05-07 21:50