L’École des cotes

CA Boston River v Millonarios

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 22:00 UTC

Score final : CA Boston River 2–4 Millonarios

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

26 opérateurs (5 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CA Boston River (Local)

Prévision 19.25%5.20cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.323%
Kelly -0.401%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.24%19.24%19.15%20.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.784.785.1122.73%20.90%20.94%19.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Millonarios (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.61%1.83cote équitable
EV -0.064%
Avantage -0.035%
Kelly -0.077%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.59%54.51%54.73%55.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.721.711.8360.61%58.26%58.48%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.14%3.83cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -0.738%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.54%26.24%26.12%27.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.473.483.7231.25%28.79%28.78%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle5.11I 19.57%NM 18.52%EV -1.65%E -0.323%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.79%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 21:55
1xBet5.03I 19.88%NM 18.89%EV -3.19%E -0.634%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.57%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.54%EV -2.75%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 21:55
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -3.77%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -5.36%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 21:34
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -3.77%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -7.19%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 21:53
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -3.77%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 21:40
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -3.77%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-07 21:54
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -3.77%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 21:34
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -4.73%E -0.955%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.89%E -6.00%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.19%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 21:34
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.92%EV -5.69%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.34%EV -0.064%E -0.035%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.74%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-07 21:55
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -5.69%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 21:55
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 21:49
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.53%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 21:55
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 21:49
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.58%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.10%EV -2.79%E -1.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 21:55
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.58%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.10%EV -2.79%E -1.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 21:54
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.58%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.10%EV -2.79%E -1.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 21:55
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -8.58%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-07 21:54
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.53%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 21:54
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.53%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 21:55
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.53%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 21:55
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 21:55
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 21:54
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 21:54
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -13.39%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -9.89%E -6.00%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -16.34%E -5.11%K -7.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-07 21:50
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -15.31%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-07 21:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%0.4%2026-05-07 21:50
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%0.4%2026-05-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-07 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-07 21:55
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-05-07 21:50