Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bragantino-SP v Clube Atlético Mineiro

2026-08-12 20:00 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bragantino-SP (Local)

Prediction 46.23%2.16fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.936%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.60%46.23%46.81%48.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.981.952.1252.36%50.52%51.28%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clube Atlético Mineiro (Visit)

Prediction 25.21%3.97fair odd
EV +0.071%
Edge +0.018%
Kelly +0.024%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.09%25.21%24.67%26.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.623.703.9730.77%27.60%27.03%25.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.56%3.50fair odd
EV -0.041%
Edge -0.012%
Kelly -0.017%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.56%28.52%29.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.243.203.5033.90%30.90%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -4.30%E -2.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.68%EV +0.071%E +0.018%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.99%EV -0.041%E -0.012%K -0.017%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 18:15
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 48.18%EV -10.31%E -5.31%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.09%EV -2.20%E -0.566%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.73%EV -3.75%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 18:30
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 19:17
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.84%E -5.05%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-30 17:34
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.84%E -5.05%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-30 17:35
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.84%E -5.05%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-30 17:35
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.84%E -5.05%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-30 17:34
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -9.38%E -4.79%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 17:15
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.69%E -6.12%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-30 17:14
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-30 16:59
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -1.98%E -0.936%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -13.04%E -3.78%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -10.04%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 16:59
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -11.69%E -6.12%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -16.82%E -5.10%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-30 17:15
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.60%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -18.08%E -5.56%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.56%EV -15.75%E -5.34%K -8.08%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-30 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.