預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Bragantino-SP v Clube Atlético Mineiro

開賽時間: 2026-08-12 22:00 UTC

最終賽果: Bragantino-SP 0–1 Clube Atlético Mineiro

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

27 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Bragantino-SP (主隊)

預測 44.03%2.27公平賠率
EV -5.33%
優勢 -2.48%
Kelly -4.64%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.15

博彩公司預測分布
42.67%43.95%43.97%45.90%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.952.082.102.1551.28%48.08%47.62%46.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Clube Atlético Mineiro (客隊)

預測 24.86%4.02公平賠率
EV +1.93%
優勢 +0.470%
Kelly +0.621%
成長率 +0.012%

假設最高賠率為 4.10

博彩公司預測分布
23.51%24.89%24.93%26.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.503.763.754.1028.57%26.61%26.67%24.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 31.11%3.21公平賠率
EV -2.01%
優勢 -0.637%
Kelly -0.933%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.15

博彩公司預測分布
30.32%31.17%31.11%31.85%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.802.962.963.1535.71%33.82%33.78%31.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Bragantino-SP (主隊):44.03%;Clube Atlético Mineiro (客隊):24.86%;和局:31.11%。 對於「Clube Atlético Mineiro (客隊)」,該估計相當於4.02的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.10,對應+1.93%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (27 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.90%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.60%EV -2.01%E -0.637%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -9.74%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -1.80%E -0.456%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 21:55
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -9.74%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -1.80%E -0.456%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 21:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -9.74%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -1.80%E -0.456%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 21:54
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -9.74%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -1.80%E -0.456%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 21:54
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -6.66%E -3.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 17:15
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.52%EV -5.77%E -2.70%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -3.54%E -0.913%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.93%EV -4.18%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 21:50
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.11%EV -6.66%E -3.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -4.29%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.60%EV -7.92%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 21:49
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 21:35
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-12 21:50
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 21:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 21:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.90%EV -6.22%E -2.92%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 21:49
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.02%EV -8.42%E -4.05%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-12 21:50
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.50%EV -6.66%E -3.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.58%EV -9.16%E -3.14%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-12 21:45
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%EV -9.74%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.41%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-12 21:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.24%EV -13.70%E -6.99%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.79%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-12 21:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.24%EV -13.70%E -6.99%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.79%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-12 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.37%EV -14.14%E -7.25%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.72%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-12 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.37%EV -14.14%E -7.25%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.72%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-12 21:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.17%EV -12.82%E -6.47%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.32%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-12 21:44
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-12 21:54
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-12 21:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-12 21:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-12 21:55
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.74%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-12 21:49
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-12 21:39
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-08-12 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-08-12 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-08-12 21:55
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-08-12 21:55